Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Talsu NSS / FK Laidze vs Aliance

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Pukitis R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Aliance advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze
6%
Draws
90%
Aliance
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aliance

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Aliance carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Aliance taking it.
  • Aliance arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aliance, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze Clean Sheet 10%
Aliance Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Talsu NSS / FK Laidze Aliance
Matches Played 9 18
Wins 4 7
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.8 1.5
Goals Conceded 3.8 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.80 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.80 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2019 Latvian Cup
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze vs Aliance
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Talsu NSS / FK Laidze Compare

Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Aliance Compare

Top Goalscorer Pukitis R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 10 / 100
Aliance 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze Aliance

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aliance conceded in 83% of 18 recent games.

Talsu NSS / FK Laidze scored in 75% of their last 8 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Talsu NSS / FK Laidze has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Talsu NSS / FK Laidze VS Aliance
1.8 Goals Scored 1.5
3.8 Goals Conceded 2.88
80% Over 1.5 88%
80% Over 2.5 88%
60% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Talsu NSS / FK Laidze

(Home)
21 Aug
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze
1 : 7
Grobina
02 Aug
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze
2 : 1
DSVK Traktors
25 May
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze
0 : 1
Aliance
17 Jun
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze
3 : 5
Ogres Novada Sporta Centrs
01 Jul
FK Karosta
5 : 3
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze
Page 1 of 2

Aliance

(Away)
19 Jun
Marupe
4 : 2
Aliance
30 May
Valka
1 : 5
Aliance
31 May
Aliance
0 : 6
JFK Ventspils
17 May
Valka
1 : 9
Aliance
05 May
Talsi
1 : 5
Aliance
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
RFS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Valmiera-
FK Smiltene-
TBD-
TBD-
Ghetto / Gvatar-
Nikers-
TBD-
TBD-
Livani-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
Tukums 2000-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Auda Riga-
Keiko Jekabpils-
TBD-
DSVK Traktors1
Krimulda3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ventspils-
Super Nova-
TBD-
TBD-
Rezekne-
Kalupe2
AFA Olaine1
TBD-
New Project-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Riga FC-
FK Karosta3
Riga United1
TBD-
FK Madona Kvarcs-
Lubana-
TBD-
TBD-
Tente-
FK Alberts-
TBD-
TBD-
Lielupe-
Aliance1
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze0
Monarhs0
LDZ Cargo/DFA7
Alberts JDFS-
TBD-
TBD-
Dinamo Riga-
Albatroz-
TBD-
TBD-
Grobina-
Salaspils FK4
Fk Jurnieks Riga1
Jurmalas1
Jauniba / Upesciems2
Marupe-
TBD-
FK Limbazi2
Caramba8
BFC Daugavpils-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Spartaks Jurmala-
FK Metta-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jelgava-
1/32-finals
RFS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Valmiera-
FK Smiltene3
Ghetto / Gvatar0
Nikers1
Livani5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
Tukums 20005
FK Auda Riga1
Keiko Jekabpils2
Krimulda3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ventspils-
Super Nova4
Rezekne3
Kalupe0
New Project1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Riga FC-
FK Karosta8
FK Madona Kvarcs1
Lubana2
Tente6
FK Alberts2
Lielupe1
Aliance1
LDZ Cargo/DFA2
Alberts JDFS3
Dinamo Riga1
Albatroz1
Grobina2
Salaspils FK3
Jauniba / Upesciems0
Marupe3
Caramba5
BFC Daugavpils-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Spartaks Jurmala-
FK Metta-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jelgava-
1/16-finals
RFS-
TBD-
TBD-
Valmiera-
FK Smiltene7
Livani0
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
Tukums 20009
Krimulda1
TBD-
Ventspils-
Super Nova2
New Project1
TBD-
Riga FC-
FK Karosta1
Tente0
FK Alberts0
LDZ Cargo/DFA6
Alberts JDFS4
Grobina2
Salaspils FK0
Caramba1
BFC Daugavpils-
TBD-
TBD-
Spartaks Jurmala-
FK Metta-
TBD-
TBD-
Jelgava-
1/8-finals
RFS2
Valmiera1
FK Smiltene0
FK Liepaja4
Tukums 20004
Ventspils1
Super Nova0
Riga FC6
FK Karosta4
LDZ Cargo/DFA1
Alberts JDFS0
Caramba1
BFC Daugavpils1
Spartaks Jurmala0
FK Metta0
Jelgava1
Quarter-finals
RFS2
FK Liepaja1
Tukums 20000
Riga FC4
FK Karosta2
Caramba1
BFC Daugavpils1
Jelgava2
Semi-finals
RFS3
Riga FC1
FK Karosta0
Jelgava5
Final
RFS3
Jelgava2