Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tamaraceite vs Ibarra

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Suarez S.
46' Event
Rivero Santana A.
90' Event
Falcon T.

AI Match Summary

Tamaraceite in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Tamaraceite
15%
Draws
51%
Ibarra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ibarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tamaraceite lately — more wins on the board than Ibarra.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Tamaraceite taking it.
  • Tamaraceite have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tamaraceite, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Tamaraceite Clean Sheet 68%
Ibarra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tamaraceite Ibarra
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 20 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.41 1.47
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tamaraceite vs Ibarra
3:0
May 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Ibarra vs Tamaraceite
1:0
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Ibarra vs Tamaraceite
3:1
Jan 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tamaraceite vs Ibarra
1:0
Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tamaraceite vs Ibarra
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tamaraceite Compare

Top Goalscorer Suarez S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rivero Santana A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Ibarra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tamaraceite 95 / 100
Ibarra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tamaraceite Ibarra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tamaraceite Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tamaraceite's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 41 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ibarra conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Tamaraceite went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tamaraceite VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tamaraceite

(Home)
13 Sept
Sanluqueno
1 : 0
Tamaraceite
06 Sept
Tamaraceite
0 : 1
Sevilla B
29 Aug
Villa Santa Brigida
1 : 5
Tamaraceite
04 Aug
Tenerife
3 : 2
Tamaraceite
21 Jun
Tamaraceite
2 : 0
Guijuelo
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Ibarra

(Away)
24 May
Tamaraceite
3 : 0
Ibarra
17 May
Ibarra
1 : 0
Tamaraceite
11 May
Ibarra
3 : 1
Tamaraceite
04 May
Las Palmas B
2 : 0
Ibarra
26 Apr
Ibarra
1 : 0
Herbania
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
UD San Fernando 3
Mensajero 1
Tamaraceite 3
Ibarra 1
Final
UD San Fernando 1
Tamaraceite 1