Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tamaraceite vs SD Tenisca

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Afonso J.
28' Event
Rivero Santana A.
31' Event
Jimenez O.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 game between Tamaraceite and SD Tenisca finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tamaraceite.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tamaraceite
20%
Draws
29%
SD Tenisca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tamaraceite

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Tamaraceite carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Tamaraceite taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Tamaraceite Clean Sheet 19%
SD Tenisca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tamaraceite SD Tenisca
Matches Played 34 33
Wins 18 5
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.62 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.09 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tamaraceite vs SD Tenisca
5:1
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
SD Tenisca vs Tamaraceite
1:0
Mar 29, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
SD Tenisca vs Tamaraceite
0:0
Nov 9, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tamaraceite vs SD Tenisca
1:3
Feb 3, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
SD Tenisca vs Tamaraceite
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tamaraceite Compare

Top Goalscorer Afonso J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rivero Santana A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

SD Tenisca Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tamaraceite 58 / 100
SD Tenisca 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tamaraceite SD Tenisca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tamaraceite Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Tenisca let in goals in 85% of their last 33 matches.

Tamaraceite found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (34 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Tamaraceite went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tamaraceite VS SD Tenisca
2.38 Goals Scored 1.57
1 Goals Conceded 1.71
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 71%
50% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Tamaraceite

(Home)
04 Aug
Tenerife
3 : 2
Tamaraceite
21 Jun
Tamaraceite
2 : 0
Guijuelo
14 Jun
Guijuelo
2 : 1
Tamaraceite
07 Jun
UD San Fernando
1 : 1
Tamaraceite
30 May
Tamaraceite
3 : 0
UD San Fernando
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SD Tenisca

(Away)
10 May
Tamaraceite
5 : 1
SD Tenisca
03 May
SD Tenisca
4 : 0
Herbania
25 Apr
Las Palmas C
2 : 1
SD Tenisca
19 Apr
SD Tenisca
1 : 1
Panaderia
12 Apr
Telde
2 : 1
SD Tenisca
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paso 34 18 13 3 51:19 67
2 UD San Fernando 34 19 9 6 49:23 66
3 Mensajero 34 18 9 7 51:31 63
4 Tamaraceite 34 19 6 9 56:36 63
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 47:33 55
6 Las Palmas C 34 15 9 10 58:42 54
7 Tenerife C 34 14 10 10 49:46 52
8 Villa Santa Brigida 34 15 5 14 42:35 50
9 Lanzarote 34 12 12 10 45:36 48
10 Real Union Tenerife 34 12 9 13 34:32 45
11 San Miguel 34 10 9 15 37:43 39
12 CD Marino 34 8 15 11 44:40 39
13 Union Sur Yaiza 34 10 8 16 33:43 38
14 San Bartolome 34 8 12 14 30:55 36
15 Arucas 34 7 12 15 31:47 33
16 Herbania 34 7 11 16 39:58 32
17 SD Tenisca 34 6 7 21 32:68 25
18 Telde 34 5 10 19 30:71 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)