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Tamarite vs Brea

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Barahona A.
40' Event
Marti Guma T.
43' Event
Sales Garcia D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 game between Tamarite and Brea finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tamarite.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Tamarite
30%
Draws
42%
Brea
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Brea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Tamarite carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Brea taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Tamarite Clean Sheet 19%
Brea Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tamarite Brea
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 11 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.38 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.44 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Tamarite vs Brea
2:1
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Brea vs Tamarite
2:0
Jan 12, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Tamarite vs Brea
0:0
Sep 1, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Brea vs Tamarite
2:0
May 12, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Tamarite vs Brea
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tamarite Compare

Top Goalscorer Marti Guma T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sales Garcia D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Brea Compare

Top Goalscorer Barahona A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tamarite 28 / 100
Brea 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tamarite Brea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tamarite found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (34 games).

Brea has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Tamarite went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tamarite VS Brea
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tamarite

(Home)
20 Sept
Tamarite
1 : 2
Epila
13 Sept
Binefar
2 : 3
Tamarite
05 Sept
Tamarite
1 : 2
Zaragoza B
10 May
Tamarite
0 : 1
CF Illueca
03 May
CD Caspe
1 : 2
Tamarite
Page 1 of 7

Brea

(Away)
20 Sept
CD Sietamo
1 : 1
Brea
12 Sept
Brea
3 : 0
CF Illueca
06 Sept
CD Belchite 97
1 : 1
Brea
11 May
Brea
0 : 0
CD Caspe
04 May
Ebro
1 : 2
Brea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebro 34 19 8 7 49:20 65
2 Huesca B 34 17 7 10 49:36 58
3 CD Cuarte 34 15 12 7 38:25 57
4 Atletico Monzon 34 16 9 9 52:35 57
5 Binefar 34 14 14 6 44:27 56
6 Zuera 34 13 10 11 38:29 49
7 Calamocha 34 11 14 9 41:37 47
8 Epila 34 12 11 11 31:30 47
9 Tamarite 34 12 10 12 41:43 46
10 Utrillas 34 10 11 13 29:39 41
11 CD Caspe 34 10 11 13 27:31 41
12 Andorra CF 34 8 16 10 34:38 40
13 Almudevar 34 9 12 13 30:36 39
14 CD Belchite 97 34 9 12 13 35:34 39
15 La Almunia 34 11 6 17 33:45 39
16 Fraga 34 9 10 15 38:53 37
17 Brea 34 9 8 17 26:43 35
18 Fuentes 34 9 5 20 20:54 32
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 (Play Offs)