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Tammeka Tartu vs Narva - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Tamme Stadium, Tartu
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Skinjov A.
46'
Sub
Poliakov D. In: Ivanyushin A.
Out: Poliakov D.
55'
Uggeri G.

AI Match Summary

Tammeka Tartu in this Meistriliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tammeka Tartu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Tammeka Tartu
20%
Draws
20%
Narva
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tammeka Tartu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Tammeka Tartu have won more games recently than Narva.
  • 60% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tammeka Tartu have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Tammeka Tartu Clean Sheet 20%
Narva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tammeka Tartu Narva
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 2 4
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.89 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Tammeka Tartu
0:2
Jun 21, 2026 Meistriliiga
Tammeka Tartu vs Narva
1:0
Apr 7, 2026 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Tammeka Tartu
3:0
Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Narva vs Tammeka Tartu
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Meistriliiga
Tammeka Tartu vs Narva
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tammeka Tartu Compare

Top Goalscorer Koskor T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Narva Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tammeka Tartu 31 / 100
Narva 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tammeka Tartu Narva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tammeka Tartu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tammeka Tartu's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Narva conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Narva lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tammeka Tartu VS Narva
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tammeka Tartu

(Home)
02 Oct
Tammeka Tartu
4 : 1
Viimsi JK
20 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
1 : 3
Kalju
17 Sept
Levadia
6 : 0
Tammeka Tartu
13 Sept
Kuressaare
1 : 3
Tammeka Tartu
09 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
0 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
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Narva

(Away)
20 Sept
Narva
1 : 1
Levadia
12 Sept
Kalju
2 : 0
Narva
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2
Flora
05 Sept
Kuressaare
3 : 1
Narva
30 Aug
Narva
0 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 29 22 6 1 81:21 72
2 Flora 29 18 1 10 59:39 55
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 29 15 5 9 52:27 50
5 Tammeka Tartu 29 14 2 13 37:47 44
6 Harju JK Laagri 29 11 2 16 40:47 35
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 29 10 4 15 39:57 34
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 29 9 1 19 47:68 28
10 Narva 29 5 4 20 22:65 19
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)