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Tammeka Tartu vs Narva Prediction & H2H Stats

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Tamme Stadium, Tartu
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tammeka Tartu host Narva in the Meistriliiga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Tammeka Tartu have averaged 1.9 scored and 1.48 conceded recently, against Narva's 1.3 scored and 2 conceded. Head-to-head, Tammeka Tartu have won 4 to Narva's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 30, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.31, favoring Tammeka Tartu. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Tammeka Tartu
20%
Draws
20%
Narva
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tammeka Tartu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tammeka Tartu lately — more wins on the board than Narva.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tammeka Tartu have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Tammeka Tartu Clean Sheet 18%
Narva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tammeka Tartu Narva
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 2 4
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.9 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.48 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Tammeka Tartu
0:2
Jun 21, 2026 Meistriliiga
Tammeka Tartu vs Narva
1:0
Apr 7, 2026 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Tammeka Tartu
3:0
Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Narva vs Tammeka Tartu
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Meistriliiga
Tammeka Tartu vs Narva
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tammeka Tartu 32 / 100
Narva 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tammeka Tartu Narva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tammeka Tartu's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Narva let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Away concern: Narva has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tammeka Tartu VS Narva
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tammeka Tartu

(Home)
20 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
1 : 3
Kalju
17 Sept
Levadia
6 : 0
Tammeka Tartu
13 Sept
Kuressaare
1 : 3
Tammeka Tartu
09 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
0 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
06 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
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Narva

(Away)
20 Sept
Narva
1 : 1
Levadia
12 Sept
Kalju
2 : 0
Narva
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2
Flora
05 Sept
Kuressaare
3 : 1
Narva
30 Aug
Narva
0 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 29 22 6 1 81:21 72
2 Flora 29 18 1 10 59:39 55
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 29 15 5 9 52:27 50
5 Tammeka Tartu 29 14 2 13 37:47 44
6 Harju JK Laagri 29 11 2 16 40:47 35
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 29 10 4 15 39:57 34
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 29 9 1 19 47:68 28
10 Narva 29 5 4 20 22:65 19
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)