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Tammeka Tartu W vs Elva W

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Women 2025 Tartu Sepa kunstmuruväljak, Tartu
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Kelli N.
42'
Kelli A.
69'
Sub
Jonuks M. In: Ohrvill P.
Out: Jonuks M.

AI Match Summary

Tammeka Tartu W in this Meistriliiga Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tammeka Tartu W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Tammeka Tartu W
15%
Draws
42%
Elva W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tammeka Tartu W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Elva W lately — more wins on the board than Tammeka Tartu W.
  • Model gives Tammeka Tartu W a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Tammeka Tartu W Clean Sheet 20%
Elva W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tammeka Tartu W Elva W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 5 6
Draws 5 3
Losses 19 22
Goals Scored 1.28 1.48
Goals Conceded 3.45 3.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Tammeka Tartu W vs Elva W
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Tammeka Tartu W
1:2
Jun 5, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Tammeka Tartu W
2:2
Apr 27, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Tammeka Tartu W vs Elva W
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tammeka Tartu W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelli N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vaarsi R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.18

Elva W Compare

Top Goalscorer Manniste L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tammeka Tartu W 85 / 100
Elva W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tammeka Tartu W Elva W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tammeka Tartu W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elva W let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Tammeka Tartu W's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Away concern: Elva W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Elva W
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 3.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Tammeka Tartu W

(Home)
15 Nov
Viimsi JK W
3 : 1
Tammeka Tartu W
08 Nov
Tammeka Tartu W
2 : 1
Elva W
01 Nov
Tammeka Tartu W
0 : 8
Flora W
18 Oct
Tabasalu W
4 : 1
Tammeka Tartu W
14 Oct
Saku Sporting W
5 : 0
Tammeka Tartu W
Page 1 of 6

Elva W

(Away)
26 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond W
9 : 1
Elva W
19 Sept
Viimsi JK W
9 : 1
Elva W
12 Sept
Elva W
0 : 6
Harju JK Laagri W
05 Sept
Saku Sporting W
5 : 1
Elva W
29 Aug
Elva W
3 : 2
Flora W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flora W 27 25 1 1 126:11 76
2 Saku Sporting W 27 18 2 7 84:47 56
3 Viimsi JK W 27 15 5 7 60:32 50
4 Tabasalu W 27 14 2 11 51:55 44
5 Tallinna Kalev W 27 9 3 15 58:77 30
6 Tammeka Tartu W 27 4 5 18 32:95 17
7 Elva W 27 4 2 21 28:96 14
8 FC Ararat W 21 5 2 14 22:48 17
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)