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Tammeka Tartu W vs Elva W

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Women 2025 Tartu Sepa kunstmuruväljak, Tartu
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Kelli N.
42'
Kelli A.
69'
Sub
Jonuks M. In: Ohrvill P.
Out: Jonuks M.

AI Match Summary

Tammeka Tartu W in this Meistriliiga Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tammeka Tartu W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tammeka Tartu W
39%
Draws
30%
Elva W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Elva W lately — more wins on the board than Tammeka Tartu W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Tammeka Tartu W Clean Sheet 10%
Elva W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tammeka Tartu W Elva W
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 5 7
Draws 5 3
Losses 20 26
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 4 3.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 3.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Tammeka Tartu W vs Elva W
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Tammeka Tartu W
1:2
Jun 5, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Tammeka Tartu W
2:2
Apr 27, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Tammeka Tartu W vs Elva W
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tammeka Tartu W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelli N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vaarsi R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Elva W Compare

Top Goalscorer Manniste L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tammeka Tartu W 30 / 100
Elva W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tammeka Tartu W Elva W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elva W let in goals in 94% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Tammeka Tartu W's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Away concern: Elva W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tammeka Tartu W VS Elva W
1 Goals Scored 1.75
4 Goals Conceded 3.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Tammeka Tartu W

(Home)
15 Nov
Viimsi JK W
3 : 1
Tammeka Tartu W
08 Nov
Tammeka Tartu W
2 : 1
Elva W
01 Nov
Tammeka Tartu W
0 : 8
Flora W
18 Oct
Tabasalu W
4 : 1
Tammeka Tartu W
14 Oct
Saku Sporting W
5 : 0
Tammeka Tartu W
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Elva W

(Away)
01 Aug
Elva W
2 : 8
Saku Sporting W
26 Jul
Viimsi JK W
5 : 3
Elva W
18 Jul
Harju JK Laagri W
6 : 2
Elva W
20 Jun
Elva W
0 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond W
30 May
Elva W
3 : 2
Viimsi JK W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flora W272511126:1176
2Saku Sporting W27182784:4756
3Viimsi JK W27155760:3250
4Tabasalu W271421151:5544
5Tallinna Kalev W27931558:7730
6Tammeka Tartu W27451832:9517
7Elva W27422128:9614
8FC Ararat W21521422:4817
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)