Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tampa Bay vs Hartford Athletic

USA USA

USL Championship Al Lang Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Anderson S.
30'
Myers M.
46'
Sub
Perez L. In: Schneider M.
Out: Perez L.

AI Match Summary

The USL Championship game between Tampa Bay and Hartford Athletic finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hartford Athletic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tampa Bay
33%
Draws
27%
Hartford Athletic
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Tampa Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tampa Bay come out ahead of Hartford Athletic on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Tampa Bay taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Tampa Bay Clean Sheet 20%
Hartford Athletic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tampa Bay Hartford Athletic
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 17 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 2 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 USL Championship
Tampa Bay vs Hartford Athletic
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 USL Championship
Tampa Bay vs Hartford Athletic
3:2
Jul 16, 2025 USL Championship
Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay
0:1
Oct 23, 2024 USL Championship
Tampa Bay vs Hartford Athletic
2:2
Jun 21, 2024 USL Championship
Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tampa Bay Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Hartford Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Anderson S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tampa Bay 40 / 100
Hartford Athletic 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tampa Bay Hartford Athletic

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tampa Bay scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Hartford Athletic let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Tampa Bay stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tampa Bay VS Hartford Athletic
2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay1594224:1231
2Charleston1582530:2126
3Detroit City1473421:1424
4Louisville City1573525:2224
5Indy Eleven1263318:1221
6Pittsburgh Riverhounds1362515:1520
7Hartford Athletic1447312:1319
8Miami FC1546518:2418
9Rhode Island1344523:1816
10Birmingham Legion1528516:1914
11Brooklyn FC1433815:2412
12Loudoun United1418517:2811
13Sporting Jax15041119:414
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Orange County SC1677225:1828
2San Antonio FC1567220:1725
3New Mexico1363415:1421
4Oakland Roots1556424:2221
5Colorado Springs1454524:2219
6Sacramento Republic1354415:1319
7El Paso Locomotive1454525:2419
8FC Tulsa1354417:1619
9Lexington1353521:1618
10Phoenix Rising1545620:2217
11Las Vegas Lights1443721:2515
12Monterey Bay1543814:2215