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Tampa Bay U23 vs Nona

USA USA

USL League Two 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nona in this USL League Two 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tampa Bay U23
39%
Draws
30%
Nona
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Nona have won more games recently than Tampa Bay U23.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular USL League Two 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Nona have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Tampa Bay U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Nona Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tampa Bay U23 Nona
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 7 19
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2023 USL League Two
Tampa Bay U23 vs Nona
0:1
Jun 21, 2023 USL League Two
Nona vs Tampa Bay U23
4:0
Jun 1, 2022 USL League Two
Nona vs Tampa Bay U23
2:1
May 21, 2022 USL League Two
Tampa Bay U23 vs Nona
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tampa Bay U23 32 / 100
Nona 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tampa Bay U23 Nona

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Tampa Bay U23 scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Tampa Bay U23 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Nona let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nona
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%