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Tampa Bay vs CF Montreal

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Tampa Bay and CF Montreal finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tampa Bay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tampa Bay
30%
Draws
34%
CF Montreal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tampa Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tampa Bay come out ahead of CF Montreal on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Tampa Bay taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Tampa Bay Clean Sheet 20%
CF Montreal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tampa Bay CF Montreal
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 8 4
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 2 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Tampa Bay vs CF Montreal
2:0
Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Tampa Bay vs CF Montreal
1:3
Feb 18, 2024 Club Friendly
CF Montreal vs Tampa Bay
1:4
Feb 19, 2023 Club Friendly
Tampa Bay vs CF Montreal
1:2
Apr 11, 2021 Club Friendly
CF Montreal vs Tampa Bay
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tampa Bay 36 / 100
CF Montreal 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tampa Bay CF Montreal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tampa Bay found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

CF Montreal let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Tampa Bay stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tampa Bay VS CF Montreal
2 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tampa Bay

(Home)
18 Jul
Loudoun United
1 : 1
Tampa Bay
11 Jul
Tampa Bay
2 : 0
FC Naples
04 Jul
Tampa Bay
1 : 4
Lexington
20 Jun
Brooklyn FC
0 : 2
Tampa Bay
13 Jun
Tampa Bay
0 : 1
Hartford Athletic
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CF Montreal

(Away)
23 Jul
Nashville SC
1 : 0
CF Montreal
16 Jul
CF Montreal
0 : 0
Toronto FC
12 Jul
CF Montreal
2 : 1
Vancouver FC
09 Jul
Vancouver FC
1 : 2
CF Montreal
23 May
DC United
4 : 4
CF Montreal
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