Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tampa Bay vs Oakland Roots

USA USA

USL Championship Al Lang Stadium, St. Petersburg, FL
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Micaletto M.
12' Event
Ostrem C.
Own Goal
45' Event
Cicerone R.
Assist: Acoff D.

AI Match Summary

The USL Championship game between Tampa Bay and Oakland Roots finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Tampa Bay
22%
Draws
18%
Oakland Roots
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Tampa Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tampa Bay come out ahead of Oakland Roots on wins alone.
  • Tampa Bay are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tampa Bay Clean Sheet 20%
Oakland Roots Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tampa Bay Oakland Roots
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 17 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 USL Championship
Tampa Bay vs Oakland Roots
2:2
Jun 9, 2024 USL Championship
Oakland Roots vs Tampa Bay
1:0
Jul 8, 2023 USL Championship
Tampa Bay vs Oakland Roots
3:0
Apr 3, 2022 USL Championship
Oakland Roots vs Tampa Bay
0:0
Sep 3, 2021 USL Championship
Tampa Bay vs Oakland Roots
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tampa Bay Compare

Top Goalscorer Micaletto M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cicerone R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Oakland Roots Compare

Top Goalscorer Prentice W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tampa Bay 58 / 100
Oakland Roots 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tampa Bay Oakland Roots

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tampa Bay scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Oakland Roots's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Tampa Bay stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tampa Bay VS Oakland Roots
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tampa Bay

(Home)
18 Jul
Loudoun United
1 : 1
Tampa Bay
11 Jul
Tampa Bay
2 : 0
FC Naples
04 Jul
Tampa Bay
1 : 4
Lexington
20 Jun
Brooklyn FC
0 : 2
Tampa Bay
13 Jun
Tampa Bay
0 : 1
Hartford Athletic
Page 1 of 6

Oakland Roots

(Away)
22 Jul
Lexington
2 : 0
Oakland Roots
11 Jul
Oakland Roots
1 : 3
Spokane Velocity
05 Jul
New Mexico
2 : 1
Oakland Roots
21 Jun
Phoenix Rising
3 : 4
Oakland Roots
17 Jun
Oakland Roots
1 : 1
Birmingham Legion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay1695225:1332
2Charleston1683531:2227
3Detroit City1583423:1427
4Louisville City1673626:2524
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds1572619:1823
6Indy Eleven1463518:1621
7Miami FC1656520:2421
8Rhode Island1454524:1819
9Hartford Athletic1547412:1419
10Birmingham Legion1528516:1914
11Brooklyn FC1534817:2613
12Loudoun United1519518:2912
13Sporting Jax17151123:448
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Orange County SC1677225:1828
2San Antonio FC1667321:1925
3New Mexico1473419:1524
4FC Tulsa1464418:1622
5Oakland Roots1556424:2221
6Sacramento Republic1455416:1420
7Phoenix Rising1655623:2420
8Colorado Springs1454524:2219
9El Paso Locomotive1554625:2519
10Lexington1453622:2018
11Las Vegas Lights1553723:2618
12Monterey Bay1643916:2515
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)