Sport Picks

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Tampa Bay vs Rayo OKC

USA USA

NASL 2016
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Menjivar R.
12'
Ramirez W.
39'
Boateng D.

AI Match Summary

The NASL 2016 game between Tampa Bay and Rayo OKC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tampa Bay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tampa Bay
15%
Draws
54%
Rayo OKC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rayo OKC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Tampa Bay carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular NASL 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Tampa Bay Clean Sheet 21%
Rayo OKC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tampa Bay Rayo OKC
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2016 NASL
Tampa Bay vs Rayo OKC
2:0
Jul 28, 2016 NASL
Rayo OKC vs Tampa Bay
1:0
May 14, 2016 NASL
Tampa Bay vs Rayo OKC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tampa Bay Compare

Top Goalscorer Cole J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Rayo OKC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tampa Bay 37 / 100
Rayo OKC 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tampa Bay Rayo OKC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rayo OKC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tampa Bay scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Rayo OKC conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Tampa Bay stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tampa Bay VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tampa Bay

(Home)
03 Oct
Tampa Bay
1 : 2
Miami FC
27 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 0
Tampa Bay
19 Sept
Tampa Bay
4 : 0
Birmingham Legion
12 Sept
Hartford Athletic
3 : 1
Tampa Bay
05 Sept
Tampa Bay
2 : 0
Brooklyn FC
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Rayo OKC

(Away)
05 Nov
New York Cosmos
2 : 1
Rayo OKC
30 Oct
Rayo OKC
2 : 1
Indy Eleven
22 Oct
Fort Lauderdale Strikers
0 : 2
Rayo OKC
16 Oct
Rayo OKC
3 : 1
Ottawa Fury
12 Oct
North Carolina FC
0 : 1
Rayo OKC
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