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Tampa Bay vs Rayo OKC

USA USA

NASL 2016
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Menjivar R.
12'
Ramirez W.
39'
Boateng D.

AI Match Summary

The NASL 2016 game between Tampa Bay and Rayo OKC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tampa Bay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tampa Bay
39%
Draws
30%
Rayo OKC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Tampa Bay carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular NASL 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Tampa Bay Clean Sheet 25%
Rayo OKC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tampa Bay Rayo OKC
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 22 11
Draws 9 10
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2016 NASL
Tampa Bay vs Rayo OKC
2:0
Jul 28, 2016 NASL
Rayo OKC vs Tampa Bay
1:0
May 14, 2016 NASL
Tampa Bay vs Rayo OKC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tampa Bay Compare

Top Goalscorer Cole J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Rayo OKC Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tampa Bay 33 / 100
Rayo OKC 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tampa Bay Rayo OKC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tampa Bay scored in 87% of their last 38 outings.

Defensive concern: Rayo OKC conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Tampa Bay stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tampa Bay VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tampa Bay

(Home)
25 Jul
Miami FC
2 : 3
Tampa Bay
18 Jul
Loudoun United
1 : 1
Tampa Bay
11 Jul
Tampa Bay
2 : 0
FC Naples
04 Jul
Tampa Bay
1 : 4
Lexington
20 Jun
Brooklyn FC
0 : 2
Tampa Bay
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Rayo OKC

(Away)
05 Nov
New York Cosmos
2 : 1
Rayo OKC
30 Oct
Rayo OKC
2 : 1
Indy Eleven
22 Oct
Fort Lauderdale Strikers
0 : 2
Rayo OKC
16 Oct
Rayo OKC
3 : 1
Ottawa Fury
12 Oct
North Carolina FC
0 : 1
Rayo OKC
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