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Tamponnaise vs Sainte Rose

Réunion Réunion

Regionale 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tamponnaise in this Regionale 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tamponnaise.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Tamponnaise
30%
Draws
37%
Sainte Rose
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sainte Rose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tamponnaise lately — more wins on the board than Sainte Rose.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Tamponnaise taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Tamponnaise Clean Sheet 20%
Sainte Rose Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tamponnaise Sainte Rose
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 11 10
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.67 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 Regionale 1
Tamponnaise vs Sainte Rose
2:0
Jun 1, 2025 Regionale 1
Sainte Rose vs Tamponnaise
1:1
Sep 22, 2024 Regionale 1
Sainte Rose vs Tamponnaise
0:2
May 12, 2024 Regionale 1
Tamponnaise vs Sainte Rose
3:1
Sep 11, 2022 Regionale 1
Sainte Rose vs Tamponnaise
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tamponnaise 40 / 100
Sainte Rose 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tamponnaise Sainte Rose

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tamponnaise Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tamponnaise found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Sainte Rose conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Tamponnaise stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tamponnaise VS Sainte Rose
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tamponnaise

(Home)
23 Nov
Jeanne d'Arc
1 : 6
Tamponnaise
09 Nov
Tamponnaise
0 : 0
Saint-Pierroise
02 Nov
Tamponnaise
0 : 1
Saint-Denis
18 Oct
Saint-Pauloise FC
2 : 1
Tamponnaise
12 Oct
Tamponnaise
2 : 0
Sainte Rose
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Sainte Rose

(Away)
23 Nov
Saint Louis
2 : 2
Sainte Rose
09 Nov
Sainte Rose
4 : 1
Piton Saint-Leu
02 Nov
Jeanne d'Arc
1 : 2
Sainte Rose
19 Oct
Sainte Rose
0 : 0
Saint-Denis
12 Oct
Tamponnaise
2 : 0
Sainte Rose
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