Sport Picks
Tamworth vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds Prediction & H2H Stats
England
Southern League Central Division 2022/2023 
Match Events
23'
23'
Pinto-Leite L.
82'
82'
Deacon T.
85'
85'
Anker J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Southern League Central Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tamworth
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Tamworth average 1.86 goals a game right now, well clear of AFC Rushden & Diamonds's 1.47.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Southern League Central Division 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Tamworth Clean Sheet 10%
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tamworth | AFC Rushden & Diamonds |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 1, 2023 Southern League Premier Central
Tamworth vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds
2:2
Dec 6, 2022 Southern League Premier Central
AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Tamworth
1:3
Oct 8, 2022 FA Trophy
AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Tamworth
0:4
Mar 19, 2022 Southern League Premier Central
AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Tamworth
2:2
Dec 14, 2021 Southern League Premier Central
Tamworth vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tamworth Compare
Top Goalscorer Deacon T.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Compare
Top Goalscorer Pinto-Leite L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Anker J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tamworth 34 / 100
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tamworth AFC Rushden & Diamonds
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AFC Rushden & Diamonds Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Tamworth scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
AFC Rushden & Diamonds's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Tamworth stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tamworth VS AFC Rushden & Diamonds
2.25 Goals Scored 2.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Tamworth
(Home) 03 Oct
Hartlepool
0 : 1 Tamworth
30 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 0 Sutton
26 Sept
Aldershot
5 : 1 Tamworth
19 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 1 Wealdstone
15 Sept
Southend
3 : 1 Tamworth
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 0 Sutton
19 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 1 Wealdstone
09 Sept
Tamworth
1 : 3 Middlesbrough U21
05 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 2 Boston United
28 Aug
Tamworth
3 : 2 Worthing FC
Page 1 of 3
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
(Away) 03 Oct
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
2 : 1 Braintree
19 Sept
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
3 : 1 Peterborough Sports
05 Sept
Desborough Town
0 : 3 AFC Rushden & Diamonds
29 Aug
Chasetown
3 : 1 AFC Rushden & Diamonds
24 Jul
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
1 : 2 Banbury
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Desborough Town
0 : 3 AFC Rushden & Diamonds
29 Aug
Chasetown
3 : 1 AFC Rushden & Diamonds
25 Oct
Harborough
4 : 1 AFC Rushden & Diamonds
20 Sept
Coleshill Town
3 : 4 AFC Rushden & Diamonds
06 Sept
Bourne
0 : 2 AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tamworth | 42 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 93:40 | 89 |
| 2 | Coalville Town | 42 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 92:42 | 89 |
| 3 | Leiston | 42 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 84:47 | 85 |
| 4 | Nuneaton | 42 | 23 | 10 | 9 | 67:45 | 79 |
| 5 | Rushall | 42 | 22 | 7 | 13 | 71:52 | 73 |
| 6 | Mickleover | 42 | 22 | 6 | 14 | 82:66 | 72 |
| 7 | Ilkeston | 42 | 16 | 13 | 13 | 79:66 | 61 |
| 8 | Barwell | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 69:63 | 61 |
| 9 | Redditch | 42 | 18 | 7 | 17 | 57:59 | 61 |
| 10 | Stourbridge | 42 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 69:56 | 59 |
| 11 | Alvechurch | 42 | 17 | 8 | 17 | 63:65 | 59 |
| 12 | Hitchin | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 52:60 | 59 |
| 13 | Royston Town | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 63:73 | 55 |
| 14 | Stratford | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 58:70 | 52 |
| 15 | Basford Utd. | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 49:62 | 52 |
| 16 | St Ives Town | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 64:72 | 50 |
| 17 | Needham Market | 42 | 13 | 9 | 20 | 46:54 | 48 |
| 18 | Bromsgrove | 42 | 13 | 9 | 20 | 58:78 | 48 |
| 19 | Kings Langley | 42 | 10 | 9 | 23 | 45:69 | 39 |
| 20 | Hednesford | 42 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 45:76 | 31 |
| 21 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds | 42 | 8 | 7 | 27 | 40:87 | 31 |
| 22 | Bedford | 42 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 49:93 | 30 |
Promotion - Southern League Central Division 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
