Sport Picks
Tamworth vs Boston United Prediction & H2H Stats
England
National League The Lamb Ground, Tamworth 
Match Events
15'
15'
Fairlamb L.
18'
18'
Donnelly K.
Assist: Milnes B.
32'
32'
Grimes J.
Assist: Sachdev S.
AI Match Summary
The National League game between Tamworth and Boston United finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
20%
36%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tamworth
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Tamworth come out ahead of Boston United on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Tamworth's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Tamworth Clean Sheet 10%
Boston United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tamworth | Boston United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 National League
Tamworth vs Boston United
2:2
Feb 21, 2026 National League
Boston United vs Tamworth
0:0
Dec 13, 2025 FA Trophy
Tamworth vs Boston United
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 National League
Tamworth vs Boston United
1:3
Jan 18, 2025 National League
Tamworth vs Boston United
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tamworth Compare
Top Goalscorer Donnelly K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Roberts M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Boston United Compare
Top Goalscorer Grimes J.
1 Goals Assists Leader John-Lewis L. N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tamworth 47 / 100
Boston United 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tamworth Boston United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tamworth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tamworth found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).
Boston United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Solid form: Tamworth remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Tamworth VS Boston United
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Tamworth
(Home) 30 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 0 Sutton
26 Sept
Aldershot
5 : 1 Tamworth
19 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 1 Wealdstone
15 Sept
Southend
3 : 1 Tamworth
12 Sept
Harrogate
3 : 1 Tamworth
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 0 Sutton
19 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 1 Wealdstone
09 Sept
Tamworth
1 : 3 Middlesbrough U21
05 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 2 Boston United
28 Aug
Tamworth
3 : 2 Worthing FC
Page 1 of 4
Boston United
(Away) 29 Sept
Halifax
1 : 1 Boston United
26 Sept
Boston United
0 : 1 AFC Fylde
19 Sept
Forest Green
1 : 3 Boston United
15 Sept
Boston United
1 : 1 Woking
12 Sept
Boston United
1 : 3 Wealdstone
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Halifax
1 : 1 Boston United
19 Sept
Forest Green
1 : 3 Boston United
05 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 2 Boston United
27 Aug
Boreham Wood
2 : 1 Boston United
15 Aug
Solihull Moors
0 : 2 Boston United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 29:12 | 29 |
| 2 | Harrogate | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 25:17 | 22 |
| 3 | Southend | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26:17 | 21 |
| 4 | Altrincham | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 16:15 | 21 |
| 5 | AFC Fylde | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21:15 | 20 |
| 6 | Yeovil | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:15 | 19 |
| 7 | Aldershot | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 18 |
| 8 | Worthing FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 9 | Kidderminster | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:11 | 18 |
| 10 | Hornchurch | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 18 |
| 11 | Sutton | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | 17 |
| 12 | Barrow | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 13 | Forest Green | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 14 | Eastleigh | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:15 | 15 |
| 15 | Halifax | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:14 | 14 |
| 16 | Carlisle | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20:19 | 13 |
| 17 | Wealdstone | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:16 | 12 |
| 18 | Woking | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 12 |
| 19 | Boston United | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 20 | Tamworth | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 19:28 | 11 |
| 21 | Scunthorpe | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 22 | Hartlepool | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8:16 | 9 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13:28 | 7 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6:25 | 4 |
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