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Tamworth vs Burnley U21

England England

National League Cup The Lamb Ground, Tamworth
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Enoru B.
Assist: Ponticelli J.
4'
Sub
Enoru B. In: Sayer H.
Out: Enoru B.
46'
Sub
Phillips L. In: Singh J.
Out: Phillips L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Tamworth advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Tamworth
28%
Draws
22%
Burnley U21
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Tamworth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tamworth come out ahead of Burnley U21 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Tamworth's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Tamworth have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tamworth, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Tamworth Clean Sheet 20%
Burnley U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tamworth Burnley U21
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2025 National League Cup
Tamworth vs Burnley U21
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tamworth Compare

Top Goalscorer Enoru B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sayer H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Burnley U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tamworth 49 / 100
Burnley U21 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tamworth Burnley U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tamworth scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Burnley U21 let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Tamworth stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tamworth VS Burnley U21
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tamworth

(Home)
01 Aug
Telford
1 : 3
Tamworth
28 Jul
Tamworth
1 : 1
Macclesfield
25 Jul
Halesowen
2 : 2
Tamworth
21 Jul
Tamworth
1 : 2
Aston Villa U21
18 Jul
Tamworth
3 : 1
Stoke City U21
Page 1 of 7

Burnley U21

(Away)
14 May
Sunderland U21
1 : 2
Burnley U21
13 Apr
Burnley U21
2 : 1
West Brom U21
12 Apr
Burnley U21
0 : 2
Blackburn U21
23 Mar
Ipswich U21
0 : 0
Burnley U21
16 Mar
Burnley U21
0 : 2
Brighton U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tamworth440012:112
2Brackley43017:310
3Rochdale43016:59
4Solihull Moors43016:38
5Everton U2142024:55
6Manchester United U2141034:93
7Burnley U2140042:81
8Blackburn U2140042:90
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boreham Wood440013:412
2Braintree43018:59
3Wealdstone43016:49
4Forest Green42028:67
5Nottingham U2142023:36
6West Brom U2141035:103
7Leicester U2141036:102
8Wolves U2140045:120
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1West Ham U21440013:411
2Truro43017:59
3Woking43015:48
4Brighton U2142025:67
5Aldershot41037:114
6Sutton41038:134
7Fulham U2141038:53
8Southampton U2141037:122
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boston United430111:49
2Halifax43016:29
3Newcastle Utd U2142027:67
4Scunthorpe42028:86
5Leeds U2142026:86
6Sunderland U2142025:86
7Middlesbrough U2141036:73
8Gateshead41034:102
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)