Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tamworth vs Everton U21

England England

National League Cup 2025/2026 The Lamb Ground, Tamworth
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Sub
Enoru B. In: McGlinchey T.
Out: Enoru B.
3'
Sub
Bates A. In: Mols S.
Out: Bates A.
4'
Sub
Donkor K. In: Curley M.
Out: Donkor K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Tamworth advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Tamworth
20%
Draws
51%
Everton U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Everton U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Everton U21 have managed 1.77 goals a game lately — Tamworth are scoring more at 1.9.
  • Win probability leans Everton U21's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Tamworth, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Tamworth Clean Sheet 10%
Everton U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tamworth Everton U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.9 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2025 National League Cup
Tamworth vs Everton U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tamworth Compare

Top Goalscorer Mols S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lynch O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Everton U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Graham B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tamworth 22 / 100
Everton U21 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tamworth Everton U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Everton U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tamworth found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Everton U21 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Tamworth stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tamworth VS Everton U21
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
88% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tamworth

(Home)
19 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 1
Wealdstone
15 Sept
Southend
3 : 1
Tamworth
12 Sept
Harrogate
3 : 1
Tamworth
09 Sept
Tamworth
1 : 3
Middlesbrough U21
05 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 2
Boston United
Page 1 of 6

Everton U21

(Away)
19 Sept
Reading U21
0 : 0
Everton U21
13 Sept
Brentford U21
0 : 2
Everton U21
08 Sept
Hartlepool
0 : 1
Everton U21
02 Sept
Everton U21
1 : 2
AC Milan U23
28 Aug
Everton U21
1 : 2
Southampton U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tamworth 4 4 0 0 12:1 12
2 Brackley 4 3 0 1 7:3 10
3 Rochdale 4 3 0 1 6:5 9
4 Solihull Moors 4 3 0 1 6:3 8
5 Everton U21 4 2 0 2 4:5 5
6 Manchester United U21 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
7 Burnley U21 4 0 0 4 2:8 1
8 Blackburn U21 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 4 4 0 0 13:4 12
2 Braintree 4 3 0 1 8:5 9
3 Wealdstone 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
4 Forest Green 4 2 0 2 8:6 7
5 Nottingham U21 4 2 0 2 3:3 6
6 West Brom U21 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
7 Leicester U21 4 1 0 3 6:10 2
8 Wolves U21 4 0 0 4 5:12 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 4 4 0 0 13:4 11
2 Truro 4 3 0 1 7:5 9
3 Woking 4 3 0 1 5:4 8
4 Brighton U21 4 2 0 2 5:6 7
5 Aldershot 4 1 0 3 7:11 4
6 Sutton 4 1 0 3 8:13 4
7 Fulham U21 4 1 0 3 8:5 3
8 Southampton U21 4 1 0 3 7:12 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston United 4 3 0 1 11:4 9
2 Halifax 4 3 0 1 6:2 9
3 Newcastle Utd U21 4 2 0 2 7:6 7
4 Scunthorpe 4 2 0 2 8:8 6
5 Leeds U21 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
6 Sunderland U21 4 2 0 2 5:8 6
7 Middlesbrough U21 4 1 0 3 6:7 3
8 Gateshead 4 1 0 3 4:10 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)