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Tamworth vs Stoke City U21

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tamworth in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tamworth.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Tamworth
30%
Draws
35%
Stoke City U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tamworth lately — more wins on the board than Stoke City U21.
  • Tamworth are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Tamworth Clean Sheet 20%
Stoke City U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tamworth Stoke City U21
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 5
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.79 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Tamworth vs Stoke City U21
3:1
Jul 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Tamworth vs Stoke City U21
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tamworth 67 / 100
Stoke City U21 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tamworth Stoke City U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tamworth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tamworth's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Stoke City U21 conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Tamworth has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tamworth VS Stoke City U21
2.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 25%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tamworth

(Home)
08 Aug
Boreham Wood
3 : 3
Tamworth
01 Aug
Telford
1 : 3
Tamworth
28 Jul
Tamworth
1 : 1
Macclesfield
25 Jul
Halesowen
2 : 2
Tamworth
21 Jul
Tamworth
1 : 2
Aston Villa U21
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Stoke City U21

(Away)
21 Jul
Chester
0 : 1
Stoke City U21
18 Jul
Tamworth
3 : 1
Stoke City U21
27 Apr
Stoke City U21
1 : 3
Peterborough U21
17 Apr
Stoke City U21
0 : 1
Aston Villa U21
12 Apr
Stoke City U21
1 : 0
Southampton U21
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