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Tanabi vs Jabaquara

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Bernardo
62' Event
Gustavo Gutchalles
82'
Jadson

AI Match Summary

Tanabi in this Paulista A4 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tanabi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Tanabi
35%
Draws
52%
Jabaquara
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Jabaquara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Jabaquara haven't matched Tanabi's recent run of results.
  • Jabaquara are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Paulista A4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Tanabi Clean Sheet 25%
Jabaquara Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tanabi Jabaquara
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.33 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.53 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Paulista A4
Tanabi vs Jabaquara
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tanabi Compare

Top Goalscorer Bernardo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gustavo Gutchalles
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Jabaquara Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tanabi 25 / 100
Jabaquara 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tanabi Jabaquara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jabaquara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tanabi found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Jabaquara conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Tanabi has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tanabi VS Jabaquara
1 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tanabi

(Home)
04 Apr
Comercial
2 : 1
Tanabi
28 Mar
Tanabi
0 : 0
Colorado Caieiras
25 Mar
Taquaritinga
2 : 1
Tanabi
21 Mar
Inter de Bebedouro
0 : 0
Tanabi
18 Mar
Tanabi
1 : 2
Sao Caetano
Page 1 of 6

Jabaquara

(Away)
04 Apr
AEA Aracatuba
0 : 3
Jabaquara
28 Mar
Jabaquara
2 : 1
Comercial
25 Mar
Lemense
0 : 0
Jabaquara
21 Mar
Jabaquara
1 : 1
Taquaritinga
18 Mar
Penapolense
3 : 2
Jabaquara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter de Bebedouro 15 10 3 2 21:6 33
2 Sao Caetano 15 9 2 4 23:14 29
3 Penapolense 15 8 5 2 22:10 29
4 Sao-Carlense 15 7 5 3 20:13 26
5 Barretos EC 15 7 5 3 12:10 26
6 Taquaritinga 15 7 3 5 20:13 24
7 Jacarei FC 15 6 5 4 11:9 23
8 Lemense 15 6 4 5 14:12 22
9 ECUS SP 15 5 7 3 11:6 22
10 Comercial 15 6 2 7 17:16 20
11 Tanabi 15 4 6 5 12:10 18
12 Jabaquara 15 4 4 7 14:17 16
13 Vocem 15 3 6 6 12:13 15
14 Colorado Caieiras 15 1 7 7 6:20 10
15 Nacional SP 15 2 2 11 7:22 8
16 AEA Aracatuba 15 1 2 12 6:37 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista B (Main)