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Tanabi vs Sao Caetano

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Bernardo
28' Event
Daniel Alexandre
90' Event
Mauricinho

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 game between Tanabi and Sao Caetano finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Caetano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Tanabi
22%
Draws
18%
Sao Caetano
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Tanabi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Sao Caetano's 1.63 goals per match outpaces what Tanabi have produced (0.83).
  • Win probability leans Tanabi's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Paulista A4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Tanabi Clean Sheet 68%
Sao Caetano Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tanabi Sao Caetano
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 15 15
Draws 9 9
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 0.83 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Paulista A4
Tanabi vs Sao Caetano
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tanabi Compare

Top Goalscorer Bernardo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.64
Avg xA / game 0.41

Sao Caetano Compare

Top Goalscorer Daniel Alexandre
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mauricinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tanabi 68 / 100
Sao Caetano 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tanabi Sao Caetano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tanabi scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Sao Caetano has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Sao Caetano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tanabi VS Sao Caetano
0.83 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1
67% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tanabi

(Home)
04 Apr
Comercial
2 : 1
Tanabi
28 Mar
Tanabi
0 : 0
Colorado Caieiras
25 Mar
Taquaritinga
2 : 1
Tanabi
21 Mar
Inter de Bebedouro
0 : 0
Tanabi
18 Mar
Tanabi
1 : 2
Sao Caetano
Page 1 of 6

Sao Caetano

(Away)
01 Aug
Sao Caetano
1 : 4
EC Sao Bernardo
26 Jul
Santo Andre
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
20 Jul
Sao Caetano
1 : 2
Sao Jose EC
02 May
Sao Caetano
2 : 2
Penapolense
25 Apr
Penapolense
2 : 1
Sao Caetano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter de Bebedouro15103221:633
2Sao Caetano1592423:1429
3Penapolense1585222:1029
4Sao-Carlense1575320:1326
5Barretos EC1575312:1026
6Taquaritinga1573520:1324
7Jacarei FC1565411:923
8Lemense1564514:1222
9ECUS SP1557311:622
10Comercial1562717:1620
11Tanabi1546512:1018
12Jabaquara1544714:1716
13Vocem1536612:1315
14Colorado Caieiras151776:2010
15Nacional SP1522117:228
16AEA Aracatuba1512126:375
Promotion - Paulista A4 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista B (Main)