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Tanabi vs Sao Caetano

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Bernardo
28' Event
Daniel Alexandre
90' Event
Mauricinho

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 game between Tanabi and Sao Caetano finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Caetano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Tanabi
30%
Draws
23%
Sao Caetano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tanabi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tanabi come out ahead of Sao Caetano on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Tanabi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Paulista A4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Tanabi Clean Sheet 68%
Sao Caetano Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tanabi Sao Caetano
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 15 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.33 0.91
Goals Conceded 0.53 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Paulista A4
Tanabi vs Sao Caetano
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tanabi Compare

Top Goalscorer Bernardo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sao Caetano Compare

Top Goalscorer Daniel Alexandre
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mauricinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tanabi 95 / 100
Sao Caetano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tanabi Sao Caetano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tanabi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tanabi scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Sao Caetano has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Sao Caetano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tanabi VS Sao Caetano
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tanabi

(Home)
04 Apr
Comercial
2 : 1
Tanabi
28 Mar
Tanabi
0 : 0
Colorado Caieiras
25 Mar
Taquaritinga
2 : 1
Tanabi
21 Mar
Inter de Bebedouro
0 : 0
Tanabi
18 Mar
Tanabi
1 : 2
Sao Caetano
Page 1 of 6

Sao Caetano

(Away)
05 Sept
Primavera EC
7 : 0
Sao Caetano
29 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 5
Primavera EC
22 Aug
Sao Jose EC
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
17 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 1
Santo Andre
09 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 0
Sao Caetano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter de Bebedouro 15 10 3 2 21:6 33
2 Sao Caetano 15 9 2 4 23:14 29
3 Penapolense 15 8 5 2 22:10 29
4 Sao-Carlense 15 7 5 3 20:13 26
5 Barretos EC 15 7 5 3 12:10 26
6 Taquaritinga 15 7 3 5 20:13 24
7 Jacarei FC 15 6 5 4 11:9 23
8 Lemense 15 6 4 5 14:12 22
9 ECUS SP 15 5 7 3 11:6 22
10 Comercial 15 6 2 7 17:16 20
11 Tanabi 15 4 6 5 12:10 18
12 Jabaquara 15 4 4 7 14:17 16
13 Vocem 15 3 6 6 12:13 15
14 Colorado Caieiras 15 1 7 7 6:20 10
15 Nacional SP 15 2 2 11 7:22 8
16 AEA Aracatuba 15 1 2 12 6:37 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista B (Main)