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Tanganyika vs Groupe Bazano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Tanganyika and Groupe Bazano finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tanganyika.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Tanganyika
30%
Draws
29%
Groupe Bazano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tanganyika

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Tanganyika carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tanganyika have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Tanganyika Clean Sheet 20%
Groupe Bazano Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tanganyika Groupe Bazano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 5 9
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.27 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Ligue 1
Tanganyika vs Groupe Bazano
2:1
Dec 21, 2025 Ligue 1
Groupe Bazano vs Tanganyika
2:3
Feb 23, 2025 Ligue 1
Tanganyika vs Groupe Bazano
4:1
Oct 12, 2024 Ligue 1
Groupe Bazano vs Tanganyika
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tanganyika 31 / 100
Groupe Bazano 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tanganyika Groupe Bazano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tanganyika Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Groupe Bazano conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Tanganyika scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Tanganyika stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tanganyika VS Groupe Bazano
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tanganyika

(Home)
15 Apr
Tanganyika
3 : 2
Tshinkunku
11 Apr
Tanganyika
2 : 2
Saint-Luc
08 Apr
Tanganyika
3 : 1
Sanga Balende
02 Apr
Lubumbashi Sport
3 : 2
Tanganyika
29 Mar
Malole
3 : 1
Tanganyika
Page 1 of 6

Groupe Bazano

(Away)
12 Apr
St Eloi Lupopo
2 : 0
Groupe Bazano
10 Apr
Groupe Bazano
3 : 1
New Soger
27 Mar
Saint-Luc
1 : 1
Groupe Bazano
15 Mar
Tanganyika
2 : 1
Groupe Bazano
10 Mar
Blessing
0 : 0
Groupe Bazano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 30 23 4 3 57:12 73
2 St Eloi Lupopo 30 19 6 5 55:27 63
3 Don Bosco 30 16 8 6 43:24 56
4 Simba 30 14 8 8 33:27 50
5 Manika 30 12 12 6 31:20 48
6 Tanganyika 30 13 5 12 38:32 44
7 Lubumbashi Sport 30 11 10 9 27:26 43
8 Blessing 30 11 7 12 33:31 40
9 Sanga Balende 30 10 6 14 25:34 36
10 Saint-Luc 30 9 8 13 21:33 35
11 Malole 30 9 6 15 34:39 33
12 New Soger 30 9 6 15 29:40 33
13 Tshinkunku 30 7 10 13 23:41 31
14 Groupe Bazano 30 7 9 14 26:38 30
15 Tshikas 30 6 10 14 25:40 28
16 US Panda 30 5 1 24 17:59 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 27 13 13 1 38:10 52
2 AS Vita Club 27 13 11 3 35:13 50
3 Aigles du Congo 26 13 9 4 32:16 48
4 Dauphins Noirs 26 13 6 7 35:20 45
5 Celeste 26 12 8 6 36:13 44
6 Etoile de Kivu 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
7 Motema Pembe 26 7 14 5 33:25 35
8 Anges Verts 26 6 11 9 26:32 29
9 New Jack 26 6 11 9 20:26 29
10 AC Rangers 27 7 8 12 21:35 29
11 FC MK Etancheite 26 6 8 12 15:35 26
12 FC Renaissance 27 4 13 10 21:40 25
13 OC Renaissance 26 4 10 12 14:33 22
14 Bukavu Dawa 26 2 8 16 10:37 14
15 Martin Pecheur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Championship Group)