Sport Picks
Tanzania Prisons vs Dodoma Jiji
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Sokoine Stadium, Mbeya 
Match Events
4'
4'
Heritier L.
(Penalty)
14'
14'
Mwajanga O.
Assist: Martin E.
35'
35'
Sub
Sadoki W. In: Mutinda M.
Out: Sadoki W.
AI Match Summary
The Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 game between Tanzania Prisons and Dodoma Jiji finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tanzania Prisons.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dodoma Jiji
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Dodoma Jiji come out ahead of Tanzania Prisons on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Tanzania Prisons Clean Sheet 25%
Dodoma Jiji Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tanzania Prisons | Dodoma Jiji |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 14, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Dodoma Jiji
3:1
Jan 22, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Dodoma Jiji vs Tanzania Prisons
1:0
Feb 18, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Dodoma Jiji vs Tanzania Prisons
3:2
Sep 21, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Dodoma Jiji
0:0
May 10, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Dodoma Jiji vs Tanzania Prisons
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tanzania Prisons Compare
Top Goalscorer Mwajanga O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Juma J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Dodoma Jiji Compare
Top Goalscorer Waziri J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tanzania Prisons 37 / 100
Dodoma Jiji 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tanzania Prisons Dodoma Jiji
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dodoma Jiji Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Tanzania Prisons has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Tanzania Prisons found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).
Dodoma Jiji has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Tanzania Prisons VS Dodoma Jiji
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Tanzania Prisons
(Home) 16 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 0 Polisi Tanzania
12 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
4 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
08 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
0 : 0 Mbeya City
05 Jul
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
30 Jun
Mashujaa
0 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
Page 1 of 6
16 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 0 Polisi Tanzania
08 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
0 : 0 Mbeya City
27 Jun
Tanzania Prisons
2 : 1 Mtibwa Sugar
14 Jun
Tanzania Prisons
3 : 1 Dodoma Jiji
14 May
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 0 Fountain Gate
Page 1 of 4
Dodoma Jiji
(Away) 11 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0 Namungo
04 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0 Mashujaa
29 Aug
TRA United
0 : 1 Dodoma Jiji
25 Aug
Dodoma Jiji
0 : 1 Polisi Tanzania
19 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Dodoma Jiji
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
TRA United
0 : 1 Dodoma Jiji
19 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Dodoma Jiji
14 Aug
Pamba
1 : 1 Dodoma Jiji
30 Jun
Azam
2 : 0 Dodoma Jiji
17 Jun
Singida Black Stars
5 : 0 Dodoma Jiji
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 71:9 | 75 |
| 2 | Simba | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 54:11 | 73 |
| 3 | Azam | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 46:12 | 64 |
| 4 | Singida Black Stars | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 47:35 | 50 |
| 5 | TRA United | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33:28 | 43 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 30:33 | 42 |
| 7 | Pamba | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 32:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Coastal Union | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 25:36 | 35 |
| 10 | Namungo | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 25:32 | 34 |
| 11 | Mashujaa | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 15:27 | 33 |
| 12 | Fountain Gate | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25:44 | 33 |
| 13 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 23:41 | 32 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 24:41 | 30 |
| 15 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 25:48 | 27 |
| 16 | Kinondoni MC | 30 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16:53 | 9 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)
