Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tanzania Prisons vs Lipuli

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Kimenya S.
90' Event
Aziz I.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 game between Tanzania Prisons and Lipuli finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tanzania Prisons.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tanzania Prisons
20%
Draws
40%
Lipuli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tanzania Prisons come out ahead of Lipuli on wins alone.
  • Tanzania Prisons are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Tanzania Prisons Clean Sheet 16%
Lipuli Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tanzania Prisons Lipuli
Matches Played 43 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 9 5
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 0.84 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Lipuli
2:0
Sep 29, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Lipuli vs Tanzania Prisons
2:2
May 28, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Lipuli
3:1
Jan 2, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Lipuli vs Tanzania Prisons
1:0
May 5, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Lipuli
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tanzania Prisons Compare

Top Goalscorer Kimenya S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aziz I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Lipuli Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tanzania Prisons 36 / 100
Lipuli 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tanzania Prisons Lipuli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lipuli conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Tanzania Prisons has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tanzania Prisons's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 43 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Tanzania Prisons VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tanzania Prisons

(Home)
16 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 0
Polisi Tanzania
12 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
4 : 0
Tanzania Prisons
08 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
0 : 0
Mbeya City
05 Jul
Mbeya City
2 : 0
Tanzania Prisons
30 Jun
Mashujaa
0 : 1
Tanzania Prisons
Page 1 of 9

Lipuli

(Away)
26 Jul
Lipuli
0 : 1
Young Africans
23 Jul
Lipuli
1 : 0
Ruvu Shooting
19 Jul
Lipuli
1 : 1
Azam
14 Jul
Lipuli
2 : 0
Kinondoni MC
09 Jul
Alliance
2 : 0
Lipuli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 38 27 7 4 78:21 88
2 Young Africans 38 19 15 4 45:28 72
3 Azam 38 20 10 8 52:26 70
4 Namungo 38 17 13 8 46:37 64
5 Polisi Tanzania 38 15 10 13 37:35 55
6 JKT Tanzania 38 13 15 10 34:32 54
7 Coastal Union 38 14 11 13 33:30 53
8 Kagera Sugar 38 15 7 16 44:41 52
9 Biashara Mara United 38 12 14 12 29:27 50
10 Tanzania Prisons 38 10 19 9 35:30 49
11 Mwadui 38 12 11 15 39:45 47
12 Ruvu Shooting 38 12 11 15 34:42 47
13 Kinondoni MC 38 13 7 18 35:47 46
14 Mtibwa Sugar 38 11 12 15 30:34 45
15 Mbeya City 38 12 9 17 33:42 45
16 Mbao 38 12 9 17 33:43 45
17 Alliance 38 11 12 15 36:48 45
18 Lipuli 38 12 8 18 43:51 44
19 Ndanda 38 9 14 15 28:35 41
20 Singida United 38 4 6 28 23:73 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 (Relegation)