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Tanzania Prisons vs Mbeya City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Sokoine Stadium, Mbeya
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Tanzania Prisons
20%
Draws
47%
Mbeya City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mbeya City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Mbeya City have won more games recently than Tanzania Prisons.
  • Win probability leans Mbeya City's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Mbeya City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mbeya City, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Tanzania Prisons Clean Sheet 21%
Mbeya City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tanzania Prisons Mbeya City
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.7 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Mbeya City
0:0
Jul 5, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Tanzania Prisons
2:0
May 4, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Mbeya City
1:2
Oct 21, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Tanzania Prisons
1:2
Dec 25, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Tanzania Prisons
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tanzania Prisons 24 / 100
Mbeya City 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tanzania Prisons Mbeya City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mbeya City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mbeya City let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Tanzania Prisons remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Tanzania Prisons scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Tanzania Prisons VS Mbeya City
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tanzania Prisons

(Home)
16 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 0
Polisi Tanzania
12 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
4 : 0
Tanzania Prisons
08 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
0 : 0
Mbeya City
05 Jul
Mbeya City
2 : 0
Tanzania Prisons
30 Jun
Mashujaa
0 : 1
Tanzania Prisons
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Mbeya City

(Away)
12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0
Mbeya City
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0
Mbeya City
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2
Mbeya City
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1
Mashujaa
19 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 0
Dodoma Jiji
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Tanzania Prisons 0
Mbeya City 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Polisi Tanzania 7
Mbeya Kwanza 1
Final
Mbeya City -
TBD -
Tanzania Prisons 1
Polisi Tanzania 4