Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Sokoine Stadium

Tanzania Prisons

3 - 2

Namungo

Our Tip

Match Events

38'

Chanongo H.

39'

Kipenye C.

(Penalty)

42'

Sabiyanka L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tanzania Prisons in this Ligi Kuu Bara matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tanzania Prisons.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Tanzania Prisons

39%

Draws

30%

Namungo

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Namungo haven't matched Tanzania Prisons's recent run of results.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Ligi Kuu Bara form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%

Tanzania Prisons Clean Sheet 22%

Namungo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tanzania Prisons	Namungo
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	8	7
Draws	6	12
Losses	17	11
Goals Scored	1.5	1
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Tanzania Prisons vs Namungo

Possession: 59% - 55% Cards: 3 - 0

3:2

Sep 21, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara

Namungo vs Tanzania Prisons

Possession: 56% - 42% Cards: 4 - 4

1:0

Feb 14, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara

Tanzania Prisons vs Namungo

Possession: 54% - 48% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Sep 28, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Namungo vs Tanzania Prisons

Possession: 43% - 41% Cards: 0 - 0

1:0

May 25, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Namungo vs Tanzania Prisons

Possession: 45% - 44% Cards: 2 - 0

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tanzania Prisons Compare

Top Goalscorer Sabiyanka L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Mpole G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Namungo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngoye F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tanzania Prisons 32 / 100

Namungo 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tanzania Prisons Namungo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAM Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Namungo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Tanzania Prisons has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tanzania Prisons scored in 45% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Tanzania Prisons VS Namungo

1.5 Goals Scored 1

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13

63% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	23	6	1	71:9	75
2	Simba	30	22	7	1	54:11	73
3	Azam	30	18	10	2	46:12	64
4	Singida Black Stars	30	15	5	10	47:35	50
5	TRA United	30	11	10	9	33:28	43
6	JKT Tanzania	30	10	12	8	30:33	42
7	Pamba	30	9	9	12	32:35	36
8	Coastal Union	30	9	9	12	31:37	36
9	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	11	11	25:36	35
10	Namungo	30	7	13	10	25:32	34
11	Mashujaa	30	7	12	11	15:27	33
12	Fountain Gate	30	9	6	15	25:44	33
13	Tanzania Prisons	30	9	5	16	23:41	32
14	Mbeya City	30	7	9	14	24:41	30
15	Mtibwa Sugar	30	6	9	15	25:48	27
16	Kinondoni MC	30	2	3	25	16:53	9