Sport Picks
Tanzania Prisons vs Singida Black Stars
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Sokoine Stadium, Mbeya 
Match Events
3'
3'
Mpole G.
(Penalty)
6'
6'
Lyanga A.
Assist: Jarjou L.
19'
19'
Sub
Said A. In: Issa M.
Out: Said A.
AI Match Summary
The Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 game between Tanzania Prisons and Singida Black Stars finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Singida Black Stars.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
22%
60%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Singida Black Stars
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Singida Black Stars carry the better recent record into this one.
- Singida Black Stars are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Singida Black Stars have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Tanzania Prisons Clean Sheet 12%
Singida Black Stars Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tanzania Prisons | Singida Black Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 16 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 24, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Tanzania Prisons
3:1
Mar 18, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Singida Black Stars
1:2
Jun 22, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Tanzania Prisons
3:3
Dec 16, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Singida Black Stars
0:2
May 13, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Singida Black Stars
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tanzania Prisons Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Singida Black Stars Compare
Top Goalscorer Lyanga A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Imoro I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tanzania Prisons 19 / 100
Singida Black Stars 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tanzania Prisons Singida Black Stars
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SBS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Singida Black Stars let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
Tanzania Prisons went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Tanzania Prisons's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Tanzania Prisons VS Singida Black Stars
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Tanzania Prisons
(Home) 16 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 0 Polisi Tanzania
12 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
4 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
08 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
0 : 0 Mbeya City
05 Jul
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
30 Jun
Mashujaa
0 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
Page 1 of 6
16 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 0 Polisi Tanzania
08 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
0 : 0 Mbeya City
27 Jun
Tanzania Prisons
2 : 1 Mtibwa Sugar
14 Jun
Tanzania Prisons
3 : 1 Dodoma Jiji
14 May
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 0 Fountain Gate
Page 1 of 4
Singida Black Stars
(Away) 30 Jun
Fountain Gate
4 : 3 Singida Black Stars
27 Jun
Simba
2 : 0 Singida Black Stars
24 Jun
Singida Black Stars
3 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
17 Jun
Singida Black Stars
5 : 0 Dodoma Jiji
13 Jun
JKT Tanzania
1 : 2 Singida Black Stars
Page 1 of 6
30 Jun
Fountain Gate
4 : 3 Singida Black Stars
27 Jun
Simba
2 : 0 Singida Black Stars
13 Jun
JKT Tanzania
1 : 2 Singida Black Stars
22 May
Young Africans
3 : 0 Singida Black Stars
16 May
Coastal Union
1 : 0 Singida Black Stars
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 71:9 | 75 |
| 2 | Simba | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 54:11 | 73 |
| 3 | Azam | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 46:12 | 64 |
| 4 | Singida Black Stars | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 47:35 | 50 |
| 5 | TRA United | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33:28 | 43 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 30:33 | 42 |
| 7 | Pamba | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 32:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Coastal Union | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 25:36 | 35 |
| 10 | Namungo | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 25:32 | 34 |
| 11 | Mashujaa | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 15:27 | 33 |
| 12 | Fountain Gate | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25:44 | 33 |
| 13 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 23:41 | 32 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 24:41 | 30 |
| 15 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 25:48 | 27 |
| 16 | Kinondoni MC | 30 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16:53 | 9 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)