Sport Picks

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Tanzania U23 vs Burundi U23

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship
Fri, Jul 30, 2021
1 - 0
11:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

57'
57'
64'

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Tanzania U23
35%
Draws
45%
Burundi U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Burundi U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tanzania U23 lately — more wins on the board than Burundi U23.
  • Model gives Burundi U23 a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Tanzania U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tanzania U23, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Tanzania U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Burundi U23 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tanzania U23 Burundi U23
Matches Played 9 6
Wins 3 2
Draws 4 2
Losses 2 2
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.22 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2021 CECAFA Championship
Tanzania U23 vs Burundi U23
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tanzania U23 20 / 100
Burundi U23 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tanzania U23 Burundi U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burundi U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tanzania U23 scored in 78% of their last 9 games.

Tanzania U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Burundi U23 has conceded goals in 50% of their last 6 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Tanzania U23 VS Burundi U23
1 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.67
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tanzania U23

(Home)
28 Sept
Kenya U23
4 : 1
Tanzania U23
29 Oct
Nigeria U23
2 : 0
Tanzania U23
22 Oct
Tanzania U23
1 : 1
Nigeria U23
26 Sept
South Sudan U23
3 : 3
Tanzania U23
23 Sept
Tanzania U23
0 : 0
South Sudan U23
Page 1 of 2

Burundi U23

(Away)
30 Jul
Tanzania U23
1 : 0
Burundi U23
27 Jul
Burundi U23
1 : 0
Kenya U23
23 Jul
Ethiopia U23
1 : 1
Burundi U23
20 Jul
Burundi U23
3 : 0
Eritrea U23
26 Mar
Congo U23
2 : 1
Burundi U23
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Tanzania U23 1
South Sudan U23 0
Burundi U23 1
Kenya U23 0
Final
Tanzania U23 1
Burundi U23 0
South Sudan U23 1
Kenya U23 0