Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tanzania U23 vs Nigeria U23

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Africa Cup of Nations U23 2023 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Tanzania U23
35%
Draws
43%
Nigeria U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nigeria U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nigeria U23 lately — more wins on the board than Tanzania U23.
  • Win probability leans Nigeria U23's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Nigeria U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Tanzania U23 Clean Sheet 19%
Nigeria U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tanzania U23 Nigeria U23
Matches Played 9 23
Wins 3 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 2 7
Goals Scored 1 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Nigeria U23 vs Tanzania U23
2:0
Oct 22, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Tanzania U23 vs Nigeria U23
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tanzania U23 20 / 100
Nigeria U23 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tanzania U23 Nigeria U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nigeria U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tanzania U23 scored in 78% of their last 9 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Tanzania U23 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Nigeria U23 conceded in 59% of 22 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Tanzania U23 VS Nigeria U23
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tanzania U23

(Home)
28 Sept
Kenya U23
4 : 1
Tanzania U23
29 Oct
Nigeria U23
2 : 0
Tanzania U23
22 Oct
Tanzania U23
1 : 1
Nigeria U23
26 Sept
South Sudan U23
3 : 3
Tanzania U23
23 Sept
Tanzania U23
0 : 0
South Sudan U23
Page 1 of 2

Nigeria U23

(Away)
28 Mar
Guinea U23
2 : 0
Nigeria U23
22 Mar
Nigeria U23
0 : 0
Guinea U23
29 Oct
Nigeria U23
2 : 0
Tanzania U23
22 Oct
Tanzania U23
1 : 1
Nigeria U23
15 Nov
Nigeria U23
0 : 0
South Africa U23
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Guinea Bissau U23 2
Niger U23 4
TBD -
Ivory Coast U23 -
Sudan U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Benin U23 -
Tanzania U23 3
South Sudan U23 3
TBD -
Nigeria U23 -
Guinea U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 3
Botswana U23 2
TBD -
Egypt U23 -
Sierra Leone U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U23 -
Mauritania U23 1
Togo U23 2
TBD -
South Africa U23 -
Congo U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tunisia U23 -
Ethiopia U23 0
D.R. Congo U23 1
TBD -
Algeria U23 -
Mozambique U23 5
Mauritius U23 1
TBD -
Ghana U23 -
Burkina Faso U23 2
Gambia U23 2
TBD -
Senegal U23 -
Libya U23 4
Rwanda U23 4
TBD -
Mali U23 -
Madagascar U23 12
Seychelles U23 1
TBD -
Gabon U23 -
Angola U23 8
Namibia U23 1
TBD -
Cameroon U23 -
Semi-finals
Niger U23 1
Ivory Coast U23 1
Sudan U23 3
Benin U23 3
Tanzania U23 1
Nigeria U23 3
Guinea U23 -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 0
Egypt U23 1
Sierra Leone U23 1
Zambia U23 2
Togo U23 2
South Africa U23 2
Congo U23 2
Tunisia U23 2
D.R. Congo U23 5
Algeria U23 4
Mozambique U23 1
Ghana U23 4
Burkina Faso U23 0
Senegal U23 1
Rwanda U23 1
Mali U23 2
Madagascar U23 0
Gabon U23 5
Angola U23 2
Cameroon U23 3
Final
Niger U23 2
Sudan U23 1
Nigeria U23 0
Guinea U23 2
Egypt U23 2
Zambia U23 0
South Africa U23 1
Congo U23 1
Algeria U23 1
Ghana U23 2
Senegal U23 3
Mali U23 4
Gabon U23 2
Cameroon U23 1