Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tanzania U23 vs South Sudan U23

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Tanzania U23
35%
Draws
47%
South Sudan U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: South Sudan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tanzania U23 come out ahead of South Sudan U23 on wins alone.
  • Model gives South Sudan U23 a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Tanzania U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tanzania U23, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Tanzania U23 Clean Sheet 20%
South Sudan U23 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tanzania U23 South Sudan U23
Matches Played 9 8
Wins 3 2
Draws 4 3
Losses 2 3
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.22 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations U23
South Sudan U23 vs Tanzania U23
3:3
Sep 23, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Tanzania U23 vs South Sudan U23
0:0
Jul 27, 2021 CECAFA Championship
Tanzania U23 vs South Sudan U23
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tanzania U23 28 / 100
South Sudan U23 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tanzania U23 South Sudan U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Sudan U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tanzania U23's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 9 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Tanzania U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

South Sudan U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 8 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tanzania U23 VS South Sudan U23
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tanzania U23

(Home)
28 Sept
Kenya U23
4 : 1
Tanzania U23
29 Oct
Nigeria U23
2 : 0
Tanzania U23
22 Oct
Tanzania U23
1 : 1
Nigeria U23
26 Sept
South Sudan U23
3 : 3
Tanzania U23
23 Sept
Tanzania U23
0 : 0
South Sudan U23
Page 1 of 2

South Sudan U23

(Away)
26 Sept
South Sudan U23
3 : 3
Tanzania U23
23 Sept
Tanzania U23
0 : 0
South Sudan U23
29 Jul
South Sudan U23
1 : 0
Kenya U23
27 Jul
Tanzania U23
1 : 0
South Sudan U23
24 Jul
Djibouti U23
0 : 2
South Sudan U23
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Guinea Bissau U23 2
Niger U23 4
TBD -
Ivory Coast U23 -
Sudan U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Benin U23 -
Tanzania U23 3
South Sudan U23 3
TBD -
Nigeria U23 -
Guinea U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 3
Botswana U23 2
TBD -
Egypt U23 -
Sierra Leone U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U23 -
Mauritania U23 1
Togo U23 2
TBD -
South Africa U23 -
Congo U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tunisia U23 -
Ethiopia U23 0
D.R. Congo U23 1
TBD -
Algeria U23 -
Mozambique U23 5
Mauritius U23 1
TBD -
Ghana U23 -
Burkina Faso U23 2
Gambia U23 2
TBD -
Senegal U23 -
Libya U23 4
Rwanda U23 4
TBD -
Mali U23 -
Madagascar U23 12
Seychelles U23 1
TBD -
Gabon U23 -
Angola U23 8
Namibia U23 1
TBD -
Cameroon U23 -
Semi-finals
Niger U23 1
Ivory Coast U23 1
Sudan U23 3
Benin U23 3
Tanzania U23 1
Nigeria U23 3
Guinea U23 -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 0
Egypt U23 1
Sierra Leone U23 1
Zambia U23 2
Togo U23 2
South Africa U23 2
Congo U23 2
Tunisia U23 2
D.R. Congo U23 5
Algeria U23 4
Mozambique U23 1
Ghana U23 4
Burkina Faso U23 0
Senegal U23 1
Rwanda U23 1
Mali U23 2
Madagascar U23 0
Gabon U23 5
Angola U23 2
Cameroon U23 3
Final
Niger U23 2
Sudan U23 1
Nigeria U23 0
Guinea U23 2
Egypt U23 2
Zambia U23 0
South Africa U23 1
Congo U23 1
Algeria U23 1
Ghana U23 2
Senegal U23 3
Mali U23 4
Gabon U23 2
Cameroon U23 1