Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tanzania U23 vs South Sudan U23

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
55'
58'

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Tanzania U23
35%
Draws
47%
South Sudan U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: South Sudan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • South Sudan U23 haven't matched Tanzania U23's recent run of results.
  • South Sudan U23 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Tanzania U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tanzania U23, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Tanzania U23 Clean Sheet 26%
South Sudan U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tanzania U23 South Sudan U23
Matches Played 9 8
Wins 3 2
Draws 4 3
Losses 2 3
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.22 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations U23
South Sudan U23 vs Tanzania U23
3:3
Sep 23, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Tanzania U23 vs South Sudan U23
0:0
Jul 27, 2021 CECAFA Championship
Tanzania U23 vs South Sudan U23
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tanzania U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Naftal K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

South Sudan U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tanzania U23 30 / 100
South Sudan U23 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tanzania U23 South Sudan U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Sudan U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tanzania U23's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 9 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Tanzania U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: South Sudan U23 conceded in 50% of 8 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Tanzania U23 VS South Sudan U23
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tanzania U23

(Home)
28 Sept
Kenya U23
4 : 1
Tanzania U23
29 Oct
Nigeria U23
2 : 0
Tanzania U23
22 Oct
Tanzania U23
1 : 1
Nigeria U23
26 Sept
South Sudan U23
3 : 3
Tanzania U23
23 Sept
Tanzania U23
0 : 0
South Sudan U23
Page 1 of 2

South Sudan U23

(Away)
26 Sept
South Sudan U23
3 : 3
Tanzania U23
23 Sept
Tanzania U23
0 : 0
South Sudan U23
29 Jul
South Sudan U23
1 : 0
Kenya U23
27 Jul
Tanzania U23
1 : 0
South Sudan U23
24 Jul
Djibouti U23
0 : 2
South Sudan U23
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Tanzania U23 1
South Sudan U23 0
Burundi U23 1
Kenya U23 0
Final
Tanzania U23 1
Burundi U23 0
South Sudan U23 1
Kenya U23 0