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Tanzania U23 vs South Sudan U23

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tanzania U23 play South Sudan U23 in the CECAFA Championship. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tanzania U23 averaged 1 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. South Sudan U23 averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Tanzania U23 won 1, South Sudan U23 won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Sep 26, 2022 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Tanzania U23 and 0.81 for South Sudan U23. This points to a Tanzania U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tanzania U23
35%
Draws
25%
South Sudan U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tanzania U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Tanzania U23 picked up more points recently compared to South Sudan U23.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 10%
Over 4.5 Goals 5%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Tanzania U23 Clean Sheet 26%
South Sudan U23 Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 38%
Second Half Goal 40%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tanzania U23 South Sudan U23
Matches Played 8 8
Wins 3 2
Draws 4 3
Losses 1 3
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations U23
South Sudan U23 vs Tanzania U23
3:3
Sep 23, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Tanzania U23 vs South Sudan U23
0:0
Jul 27, 2021 CECAFA Championship
Tanzania U23 vs South Sudan U23
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tanzania U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Naftal K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

South Sudan U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tanzania U23 41 / 100
South Sudan U23 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tanzania U23 South Sudan U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tanzania U23 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +60%
10.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tanzania U23 attacking → ← attacking South Sudan U23

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tanzania U23 scored in 75% of their last 8 games.

South Sudan U23 let in goals in 50% of their last 8 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Tanzania U23 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

South Sudan U23 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

13 Points in last 5 9
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88