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Tanzania vs Guinea Bissau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Amaan Stadium, Zanzibar City
Tanzania Logo

Tanzania

0 - 2
FT
Guinea Bissau Logo

Guinea Bissau

Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Kibu D.
33' Event
Gluda Dju F.
Assist: Beto
56'
Sub
Simao I. In: Cassama A.
Out: Simao I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Tanzania
20%
Draws
51%
Guinea Bissau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guinea Bissau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tanzania come out ahead of Guinea Bissau on wins alone.
  • Tanzania are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Tanzania have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Guinea Bissau, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Tanzania Clean Sheet 68%
Guinea Bissau Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tanzania Guinea Bissau
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.04 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations
Tanzania vs Guinea Bissau
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tanzania Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Guinea Bissau Compare

Top Goalscorer Gluda Dju F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Balde M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tanzania 95 / 100
Guinea Bissau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tanzania Guinea Bissau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tanzania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Guinea Bissau conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Tanzania scored in 54% of their last 26 outings.

Recent resilience: Tanzania stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tanzania VS Guinea Bissau
0.75 Goals Scored 0.86
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.14
63% Over 1.5 57%
25% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Tanzania

(Home)
29 Sept
Madagascar
1 : 1
Tanzania
25 Sept
Tanzania
0 : 2
Guinea Bissau
29 Mar
Macau
0 : 6
Tanzania
26 Mar
Tanzania
0 : 1
Liechtenstein
04 Jan
Morocco
1 : 0
Tanzania
Page 1 of 6

Guinea Bissau

(Away)
29 Sept
Guinea Bissau
3 : 0
Nigeria
25 Sept
Tanzania
0 : 2
Guinea Bissau
31 Mar
Burkina Faso
1 : 1
Guinea Bissau
28 Mar
Burkina Faso
5 : 0
Guinea Bissau
12 Oct
Egypt
1 : 0
Guinea Bissau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gabon 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Niger 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
4 Lesotho 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 2 1 1 0 5:0 4
2 Angola 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Malawi 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 South Sudan 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gambia 2 2 0 0 6:3 6
3 Somalia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
4 Ghana 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Guinea 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Eritrea 2 0 1 1 1:6 1
4 Kenya 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Zimbabwe 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
3 Equatorial Guinea 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Sierra Leone 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benin 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Burkina Faso 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Mauritania 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
4 Central Africa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
2 Comoros 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Namibia 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Congo 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Botswana 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
3 Tunisia 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
4 Libya 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Zambia 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Togo 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Burundi 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Mozambique 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Sudan 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Ethiopia 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rwanda 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Mali 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Cape Verde 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
4 Liberia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guinea Bissau 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Nigeria 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Tanzania 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
4 Madagascar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)