Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, Dar es Salaam

Tanzania

1 - 0

Guinea

Our Tip

Match Events

46'

Sub

Mzize C. In: Kibu D.

Out: Mzize C.

48'

Kapombe S.

53'

Cisse S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Tanzania advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Tanzania

35%

Draws

32%

Guinea

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence

Tanzania carry the better recent record into this one.
33% — that's where the model lands on Tanzania taking it.
Tanzania have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Tanzania, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 3 times recently and Tanzania have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

Tanzania Clean Sheet 68%

Guinea Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tanzania	Guinea
Matches Played	28	26
Wins	10	9
Draws	5	8
Losses	13	9
Goals Scored	1.04	1.19
Goals Conceded	1	1.08
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Tanzania vs Guinea

1:0

Sep 10, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Guinea vs Tanzania

1:2

Jan 27, 2021 African Nations Championship

Tanzania vs Guinea

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tanzania Compare

Top Goalscorer Msuva S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Guinea Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19

Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tanzania 68 / 100

Guinea 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tanzania Guinea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tanzania Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guinea's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 26 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Tanzania went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Tanzania scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tanzania VS Guinea

0.75 Goals Scored 1.13

1.5 Goals Conceded 1

63% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tanzania

(Home)

29 Mar

Macau

0 : 6

Tanzania

26 Mar

Tanzania

0 : 1

Liechtenstein

04 Jan

Morocco

1 : 0

Tanzania

30 Dec

Tanzania

1 : 1

Tunisia

27 Dec

Uganda

1 : 1

Tanzania

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Guinea

(Away)

04 Jun

Northern Ireland

1 : 0

Guinea

31 Mar

Guinea

0 : 1

Benin

27 Mar

Guinea

2 : 2

Togo

18 Nov

Guinea

1 : 1

Niger

15 Nov

Guinea

2 : 0

Liberia

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