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Tanzania vs Rwanda

World World

Friendly International Stade de Marrakech, Marrakech
Tue, Jun 9, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tanzania host Rwanda in the Friendly International. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Tanzania at 1 goals for, 1.04 against; Rwanda at 0.93 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Rwanda slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 9, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 1.19, favoring Rwanda. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Tanzania
20%
Draws
51%
Rwanda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rwanda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rwanda lately — more wins on the board than Tanzania.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on Tanzania taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Tanzania Clean Sheet 20%
Rwanda Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tanzania Rwanda
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.04 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Friendly International
Tanzania vs Rwanda
0:0
Oct 14, 2019 Friendly International
Rwanda vs Tanzania
0:0
Dec 9, 2017 CECAFA Championship
Rwanda vs Tanzania
2:1
Jul 22, 2017 African Nations Championship
Rwanda vs Tanzania
0:0
Jul 15, 2017 African Nations Championship
Tanzania vs Rwanda
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tanzania 40 / 100
Rwanda 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tanzania Rwanda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rwanda let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Tanzania remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Tanzania scored in 50% of their last 26 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Tanzania VS Rwanda
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tanzania

(Home)
29 Mar
Macau
0 : 6
Tanzania
26 Mar
Tanzania
0 : 1
Liechtenstein
04 Jan
Morocco
1 : 0
Tanzania
30 Dec
Tanzania
1 : 1
Tunisia
27 Dec
Uganda
1 : 1
Tanzania
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Rwanda

(Away)
30 Mar
Rwanda
2 : 0
Estonia
27 Mar
Rwanda
4 : 0
Grenada
14 Oct
South Africa
3 : 0
Rwanda
10 Oct
Rwanda
0 : 1
Benin
09 Sept
Zimbabwe
0 : 1
Rwanda
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