Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Mnunka A.
54'
54'
Mnunduka J.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ethiopia W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Tanzania W have won more games recently than Ethiopia W.
- Model gives Tanzania W a 42% chance of winning this.
- Tanzania W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Tanzania W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Tanzania W Clean Sheet 68%
Ethiopia W Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tanzania W | Ethiopia W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 2.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 28, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Ethiopia W vs Tanzania W
0:1
Oct 22, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Tanzania W vs Ethiopia W
2:0
Jun 11, 2022 CECAFA Championship Women
Ethiopia W vs Tanzania W
2:1
Jun 4, 2022 CECAFA Championship Women
Ethiopia W vs Tanzania W
2:2
Jul 27, 2018 CECAFA Championship Women
Ethiopia W vs Tanzania W
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tanzania W Compare
Top Goalscorer Mnunka A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mnunduka J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Ethiopia W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tanzania W 51 / 100
Ethiopia W 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tanzania W Ethiopia W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tanzania W found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (37 games).
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Ethiopia W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Ethiopia W has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Tanzania W VS Ethiopia W
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Tanzania W
(Home) 04 Aug
Tanzania W
1 : 2 Ivory Coast W
31 Jul
Burkina Faso W
2 : 1 Tanzania W
27 Jul
South Africa W
1 : 2 Tanzania W
23 Jul
Nigeria W
2 : 1 Tanzania W
20 Jul
Ghana W
0 : 0 Tanzania W
Page 1 of 8
04 Aug
Tanzania W
1 : 2 Ivory Coast W
06 Jun
Tanzania W
0 : 0 Malawi W
03 Jun
Tanzania W
1 : 0 Malawi W
22 Oct
Tanzania W
2 : 0 Ethiopia W
11 Jul
Tanzania W
1 : 1 South Africa W
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Ethiopia W
(Away) 28 Oct
Ethiopia W
0 : 1 Tanzania W
22 Oct
Tanzania W
2 : 0 Ethiopia W
26 Feb
Ethiopia W
3 : 0 Uganda W
21 Feb
Uganda W
2 : 0 Ethiopia W
16 Feb
Ethiopia W
7 : 0 Djibouti W
Page 1 of 6
22 Oct
Tanzania W
2 : 0 Ethiopia W
21 Feb
Uganda W
2 : 0 Ethiopia W
31 Oct
Nigeria W
4 : 0 Ethiopia W
22 Sept
Burundi W
1 : 1 Ethiopia W
16 Jul
Chad W
0 : 4 Ethiopia W
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
Angola W 4
Zimbabwe W 3
Malawi W -
Congo W -
Botswana W 0
D.R. Congo W 2
TBD -
South Africa W -
Tanzania W 4
Equatorial Guinea W 2
Uganda W 2
Ethiopia W 3
Eswatini W 0
Namibia W 4
TBD -
Zambia W -
Burundi W 1
Burkina Faso W 5
Djibouti W 0
Togo W 10
South Sudan W 0
Algeria W 8
TBD -
Cameroon W -
Rwanda W 2
Egypt W 3
TBD -
Ghana W -
Kenya W 1
Tunisia W 0
Niger W 1
Gambia W 4
Benin W 5
Sierra Leone W 2
TBD -
Nigeria W -
Guinea W 3
Cape Verde W 6
Gabon W 1
Mali W 10
Chad W -
Senegal W -
TBD -
Ivory Coast W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Angola W 0
Malawi W 2
D.R. Congo W 1
South Africa W 2
Tanzania W 3
Ethiopia W 0
Namibia W 2
Zambia W 7
Burkina Faso W 3
Togo W 0
Algeria W 3
Cameroon W 1
Egypt W 0
Ghana W 7
Kenya W 4
Gambia W 1
Benin W 1
Nigeria W 3
Cape Verde W 4
Mali W 3
Senegal W 1
Ivory Coast W 0
TBD -
TBD -
