Sport Picks
Tapatio vs Tepatitlan de Morelos Prediction & H2H Stats
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Akron, Zapopan 
AI Match Summary
Tapatio host Tepatitlan de Morelos in the Liga de Expansion MX. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Tepatitlan de Morelos have shipped 1.57 goals a game lately, while Tapatio have conceded 1.68 and scored 1.96. Past meetings favor Tepatitlan de Morelos slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 2.50 vs 1.19, favoring Tapatio. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Tapatio carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Tapatio's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tapatio | Tepatitlan de Morelos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.96 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tapatio found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Tepatitlan de Morelos conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Tapatio stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Tapatio
(Home)Tepatitlan de Morelos
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Atletico Morelia | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 20:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Atletico La Paz | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23:11 | 20 |
| 3 | Leones Negros | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Zacatecas Mineros | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21:15 | 17 |
| 5 | Venados FC | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 24:20 | 16 |
| 6 | Piratas | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 7 | Correcaminos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 15 |
| 8 | Cancun | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:15 | 14 |
| 9 | Tapatio | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:14 | 14 |
| 10 | Alacranes de Durango | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7:9 | 14 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:14 | 13 |
| 12 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 18:22 | 11 |
| 13 | Jaiba Brava | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:16 | 11 |
| 14 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8:18 | 10 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5:28 | 3 |
