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Taquaritinga vs Barretos EC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Pedrinho
63' Event
Caio

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 game between Taquaritinga and Barretos EC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Taquaritinga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Taquaritinga
35%
Draws
25%
Barretos EC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Taquaritinga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Taquaritinga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Taquaritinga are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Paulista A4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Taquaritinga have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Taquaritinga Clean Sheet 68%
Barretos EC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taquaritinga Barretos EC
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 15 9
Draws 7 12
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.35 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Paulista A4
Taquaritinga vs Barretos EC
2:0
Feb 3, 2025 Paulista A4
Barretos EC vs Taquaritinga
1:3
Feb 17, 2024 Paulista A4
Taquaritinga vs Barretos EC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Taquaritinga Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedrinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Barretos EC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taquaritinga 86 / 100
Barretos EC 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taquaritinga Barretos EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Taquaritinga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taquaritinga found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Barretos EC has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Taquaritinga went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Taquaritinga VS Barretos EC
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Taquaritinga

(Home)
18 Apr
Penapolense
2 : 2
Taquaritinga
11 Apr
Taquaritinga
1 : 1
Penapolense
04 Apr
Taquaritinga
2 : 0
Barretos EC
28 Mar
Inter de Bebedouro
2 : 1
Taquaritinga
25 Mar
Taquaritinga
2 : 1
Tanabi
Page 1 of 7

Barretos EC

(Away)
19 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 0
Barretos EC
10 Apr
Barretos EC
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
04 Apr
Taquaritinga
2 : 0
Barretos EC
28 Mar
Barretos EC
1 : 0
Nacional SP
25 Mar
Penapolense
1 : 1
Barretos EC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter de Bebedouro 15 10 3 2 21:6 33
2 Sao Caetano 15 9 2 4 23:14 29
3 Penapolense 15 8 5 2 22:10 29
4 Sao-Carlense 15 7 5 3 20:13 26
5 Barretos EC 15 7 5 3 12:10 26
6 Taquaritinga 15 7 3 5 20:13 24
7 Jacarei FC 15 6 5 4 11:9 23
8 Lemense 15 6 4 5 14:12 22
9 ECUS SP 15 5 7 3 11:6 22
10 Comercial 15 6 2 7 17:16 20
11 Tanabi 15 4 6 5 12:10 18
12 Jabaquara 15 4 4 7 14:17 16
13 Vocem 15 3 6 6 12:13 15
14 Colorado Caieiras 15 1 7 7 6:20 10
15 Nacional SP 15 2 2 11 7:22 8
16 AEA Aracatuba 15 1 2 12 6:37 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista B (Main)