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Taquaritinga vs Fernandopolis Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2021 game between Taquaritinga and Fernandopolis finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Taquaritinga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Taquaritinga
30%
Draws
8%
Fernandopolis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Taquaritinga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Taquaritinga come out ahead of Fernandopolis on wins alone.
  • Taquaritinga are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Taquaritinga Clean Sheet 20%
Fernandopolis Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taquaritinga Fernandopolis
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 16 9
Draws 7 2
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 1.28 1.06
Goals Conceded 0.91 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2021 Paulista A4
Taquaritinga vs Fernandopolis
5:2
Aug 29, 2021 Paulista A4
Fernandopolis vs Taquaritinga
0:0
Jun 29, 2018 Paulista A4
Fernandopolis vs Taquaritinga
2:0
May 13, 2018 Paulista A4
Taquaritinga vs Fernandopolis
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taquaritinga 85 / 100
Fernandopolis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taquaritinga Fernandopolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Taquaritinga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taquaritinga found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Fernandopolis has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Taquaritinga stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Taquaritinga VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Taquaritinga

(Home)
18 Apr
Penapolense
2 : 2
Taquaritinga
11 Apr
Taquaritinga
1 : 1
Penapolense
04 Apr
Taquaritinga
2 : 0
Barretos EC
28 Mar
Inter de Bebedouro
2 : 1
Taquaritinga
25 Mar
Taquaritinga
2 : 1
Tanabi
Page 1 of 7

Fernandopolis

(Away)
22 Jun
Fernandopolis
3 : 4
Olimpia FC
15 Jun
Tupa
2 : 0
Fernandopolis
09 Jun
Fernandopolis
0 : 4
Inter de Bebedouro
02 Jun
Fernandopolis
0 : 0
AEA Aracatuba
25 May
Tanabi
4 : 1
Fernandopolis
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Matonense 10 7 2 1 13:5 23
2 Taquaritinga 10 5 2 3 15:8 17
3 Catanduva FC 10 4 3 3 12:11 15
4 Inter de Bebedouro 10 4 3 3 15:9 15
5 Fernandopolis 10 1 4 5 13:20 7
6 America SP 10 1 2 7 8:23 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 XV de Jau 10 7 2 1 12:7 23
2 Gremio Prudente 10 5 2 3 15:10 17
3 Vocem 10 4 4 2 10:7 16
4 Assisense 10 4 1 5 9:11 13
5 Santacruzense 10 2 3 5 7:8 9
6 Osvaldo Cruz 10 1 2 7 7:17 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco SP 10 7 2 1 18:8 23
2 Independente SP 10 5 3 2 12:9 18
3 Sao-Carlense 10 4 5 1 12:6 17
4 Sao Carlos 10 3 2 5 9:13 11
5 Itapirense 10 1 3 6 5:12 6
6 Mogi Mirim 10 1 3 6 3:11 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 10 8 2 0 18:5 26
2 Paulista 10 5 3 2 18:7 18
3 Colorado Caieiras 10 3 3 4 12:13 12
4 Mauaense 10 3 2 5 14:22 11
5 Guarulhos 10 2 3 5 14:21 9
6 Barcelona SP 10 1 3 6 13:21 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Suzano 10 8 2 0 24:3 26
2 Maua FC 10 6 3 1 23:9 21
3 Uniao Mogi 10 4 1 5 15:10 13
4 ECUS SP 10 4 1 5 12:22 13
5 Manthiqueira 10 3 3 4 13:12 12
6 Atletico Mogi 10 0 0 10 6:37 0
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams