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Taquaritinga vs Independente SP - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Paulista A4 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2023 game between Taquaritinga and Independente SP finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Taquaritinga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Taquaritinga
20%
Draws
42%
Independente SP
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Independente SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Independente SP come out ahead of Taquaritinga on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Taquaritinga Clean Sheet 10%
Independente SP Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taquaritinga Independente SP
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 20
Draws 7 2
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.3 2.4
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2024 Paulista A4
Independente SP vs Taquaritinga
2:3
Aug 19, 2023 Paulista A4
Taquaritinga vs Independente SP
2:0
Jul 29, 2023 Paulista A4
Independente SP vs Taquaritinga
1:2
Oct 2, 2021 Paulista A4
Independente SP vs Taquaritinga
0:0
Sep 29, 2021 Paulista A4
Taquaritinga vs Independente SP
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taquaritinga 30 / 100
Independente SP 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taquaritinga Independente SP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taquaritinga found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Independente SP let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Taquaritinga stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Taquaritinga VS Independente SP
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Taquaritinga

(Home)
18 Apr
Penapolense
2 : 2
Taquaritinga
11 Apr
Taquaritinga
1 : 1
Penapolense
04 Apr
Taquaritinga
2 : 0
Barretos EC
28 Mar
Inter de Bebedouro
2 : 1
Taquaritinga
25 Mar
Taquaritinga
2 : 1
Tanabi
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Independente SP

(Away)
16 Aug
Independente SP
4 : 1
America SP
09 Aug
America SP
2 : 0
Independente SP
02 Aug
Independente SP
2 : 0
Flamengo SP
25 Jul
Flamengo SP
1 : 0
Independente SP
19 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 1
Paulinense
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Sao Joao 6 2 4 0 5:3 10
2 Nacional SP 6 2 3 1 4:4 9
3 XV de Jau 6 2 1 3 5:5 7
4 Jacarei FC 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Catanduva FC 6 3 3 0 7:4 12
2 Rio Branco SP 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
3 Penapolense 6 1 4 1 6:5 7
4 Jabaquara 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Barbarense 6 2 4 0 3:1 10
2 America SP 6 1 4 1 8:8 7
3 Sao-Carlense 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 Vocem 6 1 3 2 6:7 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Francana 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
2 Taquaritinga 6 4 0 2 9:6 12
3 SKA Brasil 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
4 Independente SP 6 0 0 6 3:11 0
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Play Offs)