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Taranto vs Crotone

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2024/2025 Stadio Comunale Erasmo Iacovone, Taranto
Sat, Mar 1, 2025
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Taranto host Crotone in the Serie C - Group C 2024/2025. Crotone go into this one as the clear favorite. Taranto have averaged 0.4 scored and 2.95 conceded recently, against Crotone's 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. Head-to-head, Taranto have won 1 to Crotone's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.17 xG vs 1.61) point toward Crotone. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Taranto
20%
Draws
80%
Crotone
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Crotone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Crotone have won more games recently than Taranto.
  • Model gives Taranto a 0% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Taranto Clean Sheet 14%
Crotone Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taranto Crotone
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 3 14
Draws 1 6
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.4 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.95 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Taranto vs Crotone
0:0
Oct 20, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Taranto
2:1
Feb 18, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Taranto
2:2
Oct 15, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Taranto vs Crotone
2:1
Apr 2, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Taranto
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taranto 75 / 100
Crotone 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taranto Crotone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Taranto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crotone has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Crotone registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Taranto scored in 40% of their last 20 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Crotone
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Taranto

(Home)
21 Feb
Picerno
7 : 0
Taranto
14 Feb
Taranto
0 : 3
Foggia
08 Feb
Sorrento
6 : 0
Taranto
03 Feb
Taranto
0 : 6
Casertana
27 Jan
Altamura
5 : 1
Taranto
Page 1 of 4

Crotone

(Away)
24 Aug
Crotone
0 : 1
Foggia
16 Aug
Crotone
0 : 2
Cosenza
06 May
Casertana
1 : 1
Crotone
03 May
Crotone
1 : 1
Audace Cerignola
26 Apr
Crotone
2 : 5
Latina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avellino 34 22 9 3 61:26 75
2 Audace Cerignola 34 19 10 5 50:32 67
3 Monopoli 34 15 12 7 36:25 57
4 Crotone 34 15 9 10 62:49 54
5 Catania 34 14 12 8 49:34 53
6 Benevento 34 13 13 8 51:34 52
7 Potenza 34 12 13 9 55:52 49
8 Picerno 34 10 18 6 39:27 48
9 Juventus U23 34 12 8 14 44:45 44
10 Giugliano 34 12 7 15 51:54 43
11 Trapani 34 11 8 15 42:42 41
12 Cavese 34 10 11 13 34:39 41
13 Altamura 34 9 10 15 35:47 37
14 Sorrento 34 9 8 17 26:49 35
15 Latina 34 9 7 18 25:56 34
16 Casertana 34 6 14 14 30:38 32
17 Foggia 34 7 10 17 34:51 31
18 ACR Messina 34 6 11 17 29:53 25
19 Turris 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
20 Taranto 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)