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Tarapoto vs Deportivo Coopsol

Peru Peru

Segunda Division 2016
Fri, Oct 14, 2016
0 - 3
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Coopsol is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Tarapoto, backed by a win probability of 62%. Tarapoto averages 0.3 goals scored and 2.3 conceded in recent matches. Deportivo Coopsol shows a form average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Tarapoto, 1 wins for Deportivo Coopsol, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 14.10.16 ended in a 0:3 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.73 for Tarapoto and 0.93 for Deportivo Coopsol, suggesting the primary value lies in the Deportivo Coopsol double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Tarapoto
18%
Draws
62%
Deportivo Coopsol
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Deportivo Coopsol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Tarapoto picked up more points recently compared to Deportivo Coopsol.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.73 vs 0.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27%
Tarapoto Clean Sheet 24%
Deportivo Coopsol Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tarapoto Deportivo Coopsol
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 10
Draws 2 9
Losses 25 13
Goals Scored 0.27 1.09
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

14.10.16 Liga 2
Tarapoto vs Deportivo Coopsol
0:3
25.06.16 Liga 2
Deportivo Coopsol vs Tarapoto
0:1

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Tarapoto

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Deportivo Coopsol

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tarapoto 23 / 100
Deportivo Coopsol 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tarapoto Deportivo Coopsol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Coopsol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Deportivo Coopsol & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +66.6%
8.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Deportivo Coopsol will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.

Tarapoto 22%
Deportivo Coopsol 50%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Tarapoto will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Deportivo Coopsol's early runs.

Tarapoto 19%
Deportivo Coopsol 65%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect Deportivo Coopsol to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Tarapoto tries to push forward.

Tarapoto 20%
Deportivo Coopsol 62%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will see Deportivo Coopsol increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.

Tarapoto 21%
Deportivo Coopsol 59%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for Tarapoto's defense, opening up opportunities for Deportivo Coopsol's forward line.

Tarapoto 18%
Deportivo Coopsol 68%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect Deportivo Coopsol to manage the closing stages, while Tarapoto searches for late drama.

Tarapoto 23%
Deportivo Coopsol 71%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tarapoto attacking → ← attacking Deportivo Coopsol

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tarapoto have found the net in 20% of their last 30 matches.

Deportivo Coopsol have conceded at least one goal in 66% of their last 32 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.00 goals per match.

Tarapoto remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Deportivo Coopsol suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

11 Points in last 5 39
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1AD Cantolao30158745:3153
2Sport Ancash30165953:4453
3Cienciano30157848:2652
4Carlos Mannucci301311647:3150
5Deportivo Coopsol30148839:2650
6Los Chankas301371042:4046
7Alianza Huanuco30129935:2445
8Alfredo Salinas301341357:3643
9Los Caimanes301261239:3742
10Sport Loreto30991239:4136
11Sport Victoria301061439:5336
12Union Huaral30891338:5033
13Willy Serrato30991236:5332
14Sport Boys301271141:3231
15Atletico Torino308101231:4128
16Tarapoto3031268:7210