Sport Picks

Peru

Segunda Division 2016

Sport Victoria

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tarapoto host Sport Victoria in the Segunda Division 2016. Sport Victoria go into this one as the clear favorite. Tarapoto have averaged 0.5 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Sport Victoria's 0.75 scored and 2.63 conceded. Head-to-head, Tarapoto have won 0 to Sport Victoria's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 18, 2016, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 0.88) point toward Sport Victoria. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Tarapoto

17%

Draws

13%

Sport Victoria

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Tarapoto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Sport Victoria lately — more wins on the board than Tarapoto.
Model gives Tarapoto a 70% chance of winning this.
Regular Segunda Division 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58.6%

Tarapoto Clean Sheet 20%

Sport Victoria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tarapoto	Sport Victoria
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	3	6
Draws	2	2
Losses	25	24
Goals Scored	0.5	0.75
Goals Conceded	1	2.63
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2016 Liga 2

Sport Victoria vs Tarapoto

Possession: 55% - 50% Cards: 1 - 3

3:0

Aug 7, 2016 Liga 2

Tarapoto vs Sport Victoria

Possession: 51% - 51% Cards: 2 - 3

0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tarapoto 67 / 100

Sport Victoria 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tarapoto Sport Victoria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Victoria has conceded goals in 91% of their last 32 outings.

Difficult form: Sport Victoria registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Tarapoto scored in 20% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tarapoto VS Sport Victoria

0.5 Goals Scored 0.75

1 Goals Conceded 2.63

50% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 100%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	AD Cantolao	30	15	8	7	45:31	53
2	Sport Ancash	30	16	5	9	53:44	53
3	Cienciano	30	15	7	8	48:26	52
4	Carlos Mannucci	30	13	11	6	47:31	50
5	Deportivo Coopsol	30	14	8	8	39:26	50
6	Los Chankas	30	13	7	10	42:40	46
7	Alianza Huanuco	30	12	9	9	35:24	45
8	Alfredo Salinas	30	13	4	13	57:36	43
9	Los Caimanes	30	12	6	12	39:37	42
10	Sport Loreto	30	9	9	12	39:41	36
11	Sport Victoria	30	10	6	14	39:53	36
12	Union Huaral	30	8	9	13	38:50	33
13	Willy Serrato	30	9	9	12	36:53	32
14	Sport Boys	30	12	7	11	41:32	31
15	Atletico Torino	30	8	10	12	31:41	28
16	Tarapoto	30	3	1	26	8:72	10