Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

First League

Taraz

1 - 1

Aktobe 2

Our Tip

Match Events

Usyk D.

Assist: Arturovich H.

85'

Toybekov E.

Assist: Baytana B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this First League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Taraz

28%

Draws

50%

Aktobe 2

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Aktobe 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Form's been kind to Taraz lately — more wins on the board than Aktobe 2.
Model gives Aktobe 2 a 50% chance of winning this.
Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 80%

Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Taraz Clean Sheet 12%

Aktobe 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Taraz	Aktobe 2
Matches Played	32	31
Wins	15	8
Draws	3	7
Losses	14	16
Goals Scored	1.5	1.88
Goals Conceded	1.63	3.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 First League

Taraz vs Aktobe 2

Possession: 46% - 57% Cards: 4 - 3

1:1

Apr 17, 2026 First League

Aktobe 2 vs Taraz

Possession: 48% - 53% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Sep 18, 2025 First League

Aktobe 2 vs Taraz

Possession: 56% - 56% Cards: 3 - 2

0:4

Jun 20, 2025 First League

Taraz vs Aktobe 2

Possession: 48% - 47% Cards: 3 - 3

3:3

Oct 25, 2024 First League

Aktobe 2 vs Taraz

Possession: 41% - 59% Cards: 4 - 3

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Taraz Compare

Top Goalscorer Toybekov E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Aktobe 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Usyk D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taraz 22 / 100

Aktobe 2 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Taraz Aktobe 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKT Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aktobe 2 let in goals in 94% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Taraz scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Aktobe 2 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Taraz VS Aktobe 2

1.5 Goals Scored 1.88

1.63 Goals Conceded 3.25

100% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 88%

13% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kairat Almaty 2	13	11	2	0	44:7	35
2	Shakhter Karagandy	13	11	1	1	36:5	34
3	Turan	13	8	1	4	25:11	25
4	FC Astana 2	13	6	2	5	24:22	20
5	Akademiya Ontustik	13	6	2	5	19:17	20
6	Jaiyq	13	6	1	6	11:17	19
7	Khan Tengri	13	5	2	6	18:25	17
8	FC Ekibastuz	13	4	5	4	17:24	17
9	Taraz	13	5	1	7	19:19	16
10	Aktobe 2	13	4	4	5	26:39	16
11	Kaspij Aktau 2	13	4	3	6	16:22	15
12	Arys	13	3	1	9	15:28	10
13	Tobol 2	13	1	4	8	21:38	7
14	Yelimay Semey 2	13	1	3	9	10:27	6