Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

First League 2025 Central Stadium

Taraz

3 - 1

Kairat Almaty 2

Our Tip

Match Events

Keulimzhay E.

Assist: Zhumat M.

36'

Amirkhanov M.

45'

Toybekov E.

Assist: Suley A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The First League 2025 game between Taraz and Kairat Almaty 2 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Taraz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Taraz

Draws

90%

Kairat Almaty 2

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kairat Almaty 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Taraz haven't matched Kairat Almaty 2's recent run of results.
Kairat Almaty 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Regular First League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Taraz Clean Sheet 10%

Kairat Almaty 2 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Taraz	Kairat Almaty 2
Matches Played	33	32
Wins	14	21
Draws	3	5
Losses	16	6
Goals Scored	1.5	3.63
Goals Conceded	1.88	0.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	3.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 First League

Kairat Almaty 2 vs Taraz

Possession: 43% - 49% Cards: 2 - 2

4:1

Sep 26, 2025 First League

Taraz vs Kairat Almaty 2

Possession: 50% - 43% Cards: 2 - 0

3:1

Jun 26, 2025 First League

Kairat Almaty 2 vs Taraz

Possession: 52% - 41% Cards: 2 - 4

3:1

Aug 29, 2024 First League

Taraz vs Kairat Almaty 2

Possession: 41% - 45% Cards: 0 - 0

0:1

Apr 10, 2024 First League

Kairat Almaty 2 vs Taraz

Possession: 49% - 52% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Taraz Compare

Top Goalscorer Toybekov E.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Keulimzhay E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Kairat Almaty 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tuyakbaev A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 3.3

Avg xA / game 2.02

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taraz 10 / 100

Kairat Almaty 2 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Taraz Kairat Almaty 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAI Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taraz found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

Kairat Almaty 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Taraz VS Kairat Almaty 2

1.5 Goals Scored 3.63

1.88 Goals Conceded 0.38

100% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kaspij Aktau	26	22	2	2	74:27	68
2	Ertis Pavlodar	26	19	4	3	71:20	61
3	Altai	26	17	4	5	54:23	55
4	Shakhter Karagandy	26	16	5	5	61:34	53
5	Zhetisay	26	13	3	10	44:35	42
6	Kairat Almaty 2	26	12	4	10	58:42	40
7	Akademiya Ontustik	26	12	3	11	44:44	39
8	Taraz	26	10	5	11	43:38	35
9	AKAS	26	10	3	13	42:39	33
10	FC Ekibastuz	26	8	4	14	36:60	28
11	SD Family	26	7	2	17	33:75	23
12	Khan Tengri	26	5	3	18	27:55	18
13	Aktobe 2	26	3	7	16	34:65	16
14	Turkistan	26	2	3	21	16:80	9