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Taraz vs Kaspij Aktau 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Taraz host Kaspij Aktau 2 in the First League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Taraz have averaged 1.47 scored and 1.33 conceded recently, against Kaspij Aktau 2's 1.46 scored and 1.71 conceded. Past meetings favor Kaspij Aktau 2 slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 10, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.44 - 1.38) back Taraz to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Taraz
30%
Draws
23%
Kaspij Aktau 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Taraz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Kaspij Aktau 2 haven't matched Taraz's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Taraz a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Taraz Clean Sheet 17%
Kaspij Aktau 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taraz Kaspij Aktau 2
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.47 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 First League
Kaspij Aktau 2 vs Taraz
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taraz 41 / 100
Kaspij Aktau 2 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taraz Kaspij Aktau 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taraz found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Kaspij Aktau 2 has conceded goals in 79% of their last 24 outings.

Taraz has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Kaspij Aktau 2 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Taraz VS Kaspij Aktau 2
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Taraz

(Home)
17 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
0 : 0
Taraz
11 Sept
Taraz
3 : 3
Khan Tengri
03 Sept
FC Astana 2
4 : 0
Taraz
28 Aug
Taraz
3 : 1
Tobol 2
20 Aug
Arys
1 : 1
Taraz
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Kaspij Aktau 2

(Away)
08 Oct
Kaspij Aktau 2
6 : 0
FC Astana 2
19 Sept
Tobol 2
3 : 0
Kaspij Aktau 2
11 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 2
Arys
04 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
0 : 3
Turan
27 Aug
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 2
Akademiya Ontustik
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 23 10 3 10 42:43 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
9 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
10 Kaspij Aktau 2 23 7 4 12 29:41 25
11 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
12 Aktobe 2 23 6 5 12 38:69 23
13 Tobol 2 23 4 4 15 40:57 16
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
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