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Taraz vs Khan Tengri

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Emirov R.
Assist: Abdullaev B.
25' Event
Kemelbek S.
Assist: Baytana B.
44' Event
Sarsenbek R.
Assist: Abdrakhmanov A.

AI Match Summary

The First League game between Taraz and Khan Tengri finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Taraz
35%
Draws
35%
Khan Tengri
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Taraz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Taraz Clean Sheet 20%
Khan Tengri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taraz Khan Tengri
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.45 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 First League
Taraz vs Khan Tengri
3:3
Jun 19, 2026 First League
Khan Tengri vs Taraz
2:1
Aug 22, 2025 First League
Taraz vs Khan Tengri
2:1
May 23, 2025 First League
Khan Tengri vs Taraz
1:1
Jul 17, 2024 First League
Taraz vs Khan Tengri
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Taraz Compare

Top Goalscorer Kemelbek S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lesbek D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Khan Tengri Compare

Top Goalscorer Emirov R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sarsenbek R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taraz 32 / 100
Khan Tengri 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taraz Khan Tengri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Khan Tengri conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Taraz's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Taraz stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Taraz VS Khan Tengri
1 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Taraz

(Home)
17 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
0 : 0
Taraz
11 Sept
Taraz
3 : 3
Khan Tengri
03 Sept
FC Astana 2
4 : 0
Taraz
28 Aug
Taraz
3 : 1
Tobol 2
20 Aug
Arys
1 : 1
Taraz
Page 1 of 7

Khan Tengri

(Away)
18 Sept
Khan Tengri
0 : 2
Kairat Almaty 2
11 Sept
Taraz
3 : 3
Khan Tengri
03 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0
Khan Tengri
28 Aug
Khan Tengri
3 : 0
FC Astana 2
20 Aug
Tobol 2
3 : 4
Khan Tengri
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 23 20 2 1 64:8 62
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 23 13 4 6 36:27 43
5 FC Astana 2 23 10 3 10 42:43 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 23 7 4 12 29:41 25
10 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
11 Arys 23 7 3 13 29:43 24
12 Aktobe 2 23 6 5 12 38:69 23
13 Tobol 2 23 4 4 15 40:57 16
14 Yelimay Semey 2 23 3 3 17 17:47 12
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