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Taraz vs Tobol 2

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Taraz Logo

Taraz

Fri, Aug 28, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Tobol 2 Logo

Tobol 2

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Taraz host Tobol 2 in the First League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Tobol 2 have shipped 2.46 goals a game lately, while Taraz have conceded 1.34 and scored 1.41. Head-to-head, Taraz have won 0 to Tobol 2's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 27, 2026, ending 3:3. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.63) point toward Taraz. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Taraz
20%
Draws
22%
Tobol 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Taraz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Tobol 2 haven't matched Taraz's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Taraz's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Taraz Clean Sheet 14%
Tobol 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taraz Tobol 2
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 4
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.41 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.34 2.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 First League
Tobol 2 vs Taraz
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taraz 48 / 100
Tobol 2 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taraz Tobol 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Taraz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tobol 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Taraz scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Taraz remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Taraz VS Tobol 2
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Taraz

(Home)
20 Aug
Arys
1 : 1
Taraz
14 Aug
Taraz
0 : 0
Turan
07 Aug
Jaiyq
2 : 0
Taraz
30 Jul
Taraz
2 : 1
Akademiya Ontustik
24 Jul
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 1
Taraz
Page 1 of 6

Tobol 2

(Away)
20 Aug
Tobol 2
3 : 4
Khan Tengri
13 Aug
FC Astana 2
0 : 4
Tobol 2
07 Aug
Arys
3 : 0
Tobol 2
31 Jul
Tobol 2
0 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
24 Jul
Turan
2 : 1
Tobol 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 19 17 1 1 55:7 52
2 Kairat Almaty 2 19 14 4 1 60:10 46
3 Turan 19 12 2 5 37:17 38
4 Akademiya Ontustik 19 10 3 6 31:25 33
5 Jaiyq 19 8 3 8 18:23 27
6 FC Astana 2 19 8 2 9 29:37 26
7 FC Ekibastuz 19 7 5 7 26:34 26
8 Taraz 19 7 4 8 24:24 25
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 19 7 4 8 27:31 25
10 Khan Tengri 19 6 3 10 23:35 21
11 Aktobe 2 19 5 5 9 34:60 20
12 Arys 19 4 3 12 20:39 15
13 Yelimay Semey 2 19 3 3 13 16:37 12
14 Tobol 2 19 2 4 13 31:52 10
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