Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Taraz vs Ulytau

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan Cup Central Stadium, Taraz
Thu, Apr 9, 2026
0 - 1
10:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

106' Event
Harada H.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Taraz
35%
Draws
26%
Ulytau
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Taraz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Taraz have won more games recently than Ulytau.
  • Win probability leans Taraz's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Taraz have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ulytau, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ulytau have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Taraz Clean Sheet 20%
Ulytau Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taraz Ulytau
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.45 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Kazakhstan Cup
Taraz vs Ulytau
0:1
Sep 5, 2024 First League
Ulytau vs Taraz
4:1
May 16, 2024 First League
Taraz vs Ulytau
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Taraz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Ulytau Compare

Top Goalscorer Harada H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taraz 40 / 100
Ulytau 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taraz Ulytau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Taraz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taraz's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ulytau has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Taraz has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Taraz VS Ulytau
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Taraz

(Home)
11 Sept
Taraz
3 : 3
Khan Tengri
03 Sept
FC Astana 2
4 : 0
Taraz
28 Aug
Taraz
3 : 1
Tobol 2
20 Aug
Arys
1 : 1
Taraz
14 Aug
Taraz
0 : 0
Turan
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Ulytau

(Away)
13 Sept
Ulytau
0 : 3
Altai
06 Sept
Tobol
3 : 1
Ulytau
29 Aug
Ulytau
3 : 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
15 Aug
Kairat Almaty
3 : 1
Ulytau
08 Aug
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 1
Ulytau
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Akademiya Ontustik 2
Ordabasy 4
FC Ekibastuz 0
Kaspij Aktau 4
Jas Qyran 0
Atyrau 4
Karshiga Almaty 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 1
Arys 0
Aktobe 4
Turan 1
Yelimay Semey 4
Jelaev Nan 0
Altai 2
Taraz 0
Ulytau 1
Talas 0
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Jaiyq 1
Kairat Almaty 3
BKS 1
FC Astana 2
Ansat 0
Tobol 8
Shakhter Karagandy 2
Okzhetpes 3
Chromtau 1
Zhenis 4
SD Family -
Ertis Pavlodar -
Khan Tengri 0
Kyzylzhar 1
1/8-finals
Ordabasy 3
Kaspij Aktau 0
Atyrau 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 2
Aktobe 2
Yelimay Semey 1
Altai 4
Ulytau 3
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Kairat Almaty 1
FC Astana 1
Tobol 2
Okzhetpes 2
Zhenis 3
Ertis Pavlodar 1
Kyzylzhar 2
Quarter-finals
Ordabasy 1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 0
Aktobe 1
Altai 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Tobol 1
Zhenis 2
Kyzylzhar 0
Semi-finals
Ordabasy 5
Altai 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda 5
Zhenis 4
Final
Ordabasy -
Kaisar Kyzylorda -