Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Tarbes host Pontivy in the National 1 - Group B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Pontivy have shipped 1.57 goals a game lately, while Tarbes have conceded 1.79 and scored 0.97. Past meetings favor Tarbes slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2015, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.25 - 0.69) back Pontivy to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Pontivy come out ahead of Tarbes on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Tarbes's way, sitting at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tarbes | Pontivy |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Pontivy conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Tarbes stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Tarbes's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Tarbes
(Home)Pontivy
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Angouleme CFC | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 14:5 | 23 |
| 2 | Avranches | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:3 | 17 |
| 3 | Bayonne | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 17 |
| 4 | Lorient II | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:7 | 13 |
| 5 | Dinan | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:7 | 12 |
| 6 | Tarbes | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 12 |
| 7 | Granville | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 8 | Saint-Malo | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 9 | Les Herbiers | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | 12 |
| 10 | St. Colomban Locmine | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:6 | 11 |
| 11 | Stade Briochin | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:10 | 10 |
| 12 | Le Poire Sur Vie | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | 10 |
| 13 | Saumur Olympique | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:12 | 7 |
| 14 | Pontivy | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7:12 | 5 |
| 15 | Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5:12 | 5 |
| 16 | Chauray | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:16 | 2 |
