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Tarbes vs Toulon

France France

National 2 - Group A 2017/2018
Tarbes Logo

Tarbes

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Toulon Logo

Toulon

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Toulon in this National 2 - Group A 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toulon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Tarbes
35%
Draws
32%
Toulon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Toulon have won more games recently than Tarbes.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Toulon have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Tarbes Clean Sheet 20%
Toulon Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tarbes Toulon
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 8 17
Draws 6 11
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.78 0.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2018 National 1 - Group A
Tarbes vs Toulon
0:3
Aug 12, 2017 National 1 - Group A
Toulon vs Tarbes
2:1
Mar 4, 2017 National 2 - Group D
Toulon vs Tarbes
2:1
Oct 1, 2016 National 2 - Group D
Tarbes vs Toulon
0:1
Apr 2, 2011 National 1 - Group C
Tarbes vs Toulon
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tarbes 32 / 100
Toulon 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tarbes Toulon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tarbes's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Toulon let in goals in 72% of their last 39 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Tarbes remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tarbes VS Toulon
0.43 Goals Scored 1.13
0.71 Goals Conceded 1.13
29% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tarbes

(Home)
19 Sept
Les Herbiers
0 : 1
Tarbes
12 Sept
Tarbes
1 : 2
Angouleme CFC
05 Sept
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
0 : 0
Tarbes
29 Aug
Tarbes
1 : 0
Lorient II
22 Aug
Saumur Olympique
0 : 0
Tarbes
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Toulon

(Away)
19 Sept
Lyon - La Duchere
3 : 1
Toulon
12 Sept
Toulon
3 : 1
Frejus Saint Raphael
05 Sept
Canet Roussillon
0 : 3
Toulon
29 Aug
Toulon
0 : 0
Bourges 18
22 Aug
GOAL FC
1 : 1
Toulon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marignane GCB 30 17 6 7 39:25 57
2 Toulon 30 17 6 7 41:25 57
3 Colomiers 30 14 9 7 43:27 51
4 Bergerac 30 13 10 7 43:28 49
5 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 14 7 9 41:32 49
6 Martigues 30 13 8 9 42:33 47
7 Sete 30 11 13 6 42:25 46
8 Monaco II 30 11 10 9 44:33 43
9 RC Grasse 30 9 12 9 32:31 39
10 Hyeres 30 8 12 10 35:32 36
11 Nice II 30 10 5 15 31:48 35
12 Stade Montois 30 8 8 14 32:46 32
13 Stade Bordelais 30 8 9 13 28:39 31
14 Marseille II 30 6 10 14 31:46 28
15 Tarbes 30 7 5 18 32:60 26
16 Pezenas 30 5 8 17 19:45 21
Promotion - National 2018/2019 (Main)