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Tarbes vs Valence - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

CFA - Group C 2013/2014
Tarbes Logo

Tarbes

1 - 0
FT
Valence Logo

Valence

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group C 2013/2014 game between Tarbes and Valence finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tarbes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Tarbes
35%
Draws
13%
Valence
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tarbes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Tarbes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Tarbes a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Tarbes Clean Sheet 13%
Valence Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tarbes Valence
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 10 6
Draws 8 12
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.06 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2014 National 1 - Group C
Tarbes vs Valence
1:0
Aug 24, 2013 National 1 - Group C
Valence vs Tarbes
4:1
May 11, 2013 National 1 - Group C
Tarbes vs Valence
2:0
Jan 12, 2013 National 1 - Group C
Valence vs Tarbes
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tarbes 84 / 100
Valence 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tarbes Valence

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tarbes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tarbes scored in 65% of their last 34 outings.

Valence has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Tarbes stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tarbes VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tarbes

(Home)
03 Oct
Tarbes
0 : 0
Dinan
19 Sept
Les Herbiers
0 : 1
Tarbes
12 Sept
Tarbes
1 : 2
Angouleme CFC
05 Sept
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
0 : 0
Tarbes
29 Aug
Tarbes
1 : 0
Lorient II
Page 1 of 7

Valence

(Away)
24 May
Tarbes
1 : 0
Valence
17 May
Valence
2 : 2
Monaco II
10 May
Stade Montois
4 : 0
Valence
03 May
Valence
1 : 2
Pau
26 Apr
Valence
3 : 3
Beziers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Athletico Marseille 28 14 8 6 48:25 78
2 Rodez 28 14 8 6 38:27 77
3 Grenoble 28 12 10 6 41:26 74
4 Hyeres 28 12 9 7 31:32 72
5 Pau 28 11 8 9 32:27 69
6 Cannes 28 9 10 9 31:30 65
7 Martigues 28 10 7 11 30:29 65
8 Monaco II 28 9 9 10 43:42 64
9 Beziers 28 7 14 7 35:32 63
10 Marignane GCB 28 10 5 13 29:35 63
11 Nice II 28 8 10 10 34:38 62
12 Pontet 28 9 6 13 23:36 60
13 Tarbes 28 7 10 11 24:35 59
14 Valence 28 6 12 10 26:34 58
15 Stade Montois 28 6 6 16 29:46 52
16 Calvi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - National 2014/2015 (Main)